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Winter 2022/2023 Model Archive

18z GFS 12/4
Nice storm in the SC Upstate and NC Foothills

Pattern - Dazzling December

"Low" is obviously relative but the peak here today is 41* or something. For a kid born and raised in the tropics it's low. And since I work as a golf instructor it's irritating having to stare into the sun all day. Just curious. Do stores there sell coats and winter clothes ?
southernwx.com
gfs_asnow_seus_53.pnggfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_fh240-282.gif
 
00z GFS 12/9
Ice Storm in the Shorter-Range over NC (Goes away after a few cycles)

Pattern - Dazzling December

While this may be true, it’s pretty early to be saying that in absolute, it’s a system that’s reliant on tilt and how low the height field is out ahead, and WAA. can’t disregard it I think another huge wildcard is when the upper low in the Pacific begins to eject east/sends PVA waves east, and...
southernwx.com
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_fh138-168.gif
 
00z GFS 12/10
Big storm for SC!

Pattern - Dazzling December

Like I said before. It’s a good thing we have a strong Aleutian low entering the picture because otherwise, we’d be on our way to failing lol Definitely different from last year at this time when we had that Aleutian death ridge up. Anyway… things still looking great with teleconnections going...
southernwx.com
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00z GFS 12/11 (1/2)
Two minor storms in one run

Pattern - Dazzling December

Ah yes. The notorious CAD tree snapper run with a low bombing in the Great Lakes. ?? ? You know what they say, gotta hear the branches cracking to get the goods.
southernwx.com
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download (5).png
 
00z GFS 12/11 (2/2)
Very similar to the last one

Pattern - Dazzling December

The other thing that I’ll point is that often when the cold air dives down hard like January 1994 for example, anything trying to come out of the southern stream get squashed to the southern Gulf or sheared out completely. Honestly,the January 1988 storm is a great example of how you want a cold...
southernwx.com
ezgif-3-5b78c659ea.gifdownload (6).png
 
00z GFS 12/16
The second system is a big storm to many coastal areas!
gfs-deterministic-east-instant_ptype-1671148800-1671980400-1672120800-40.gifgfs-deterministic-east-snow_72hr-2164000.png
By the end of the run:gfs-deterministic-se-total_snow_kuchera-2488000 (1).png

 
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06z GFS 12/16
The first system has some northern stream-dominated snow over NCgfs-deterministic-se-instant_ptype-1671170400-1671710400-1671829200-40.gif

gfs-deterministic-se-snow_48hr-1818400.png
 
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