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Pattern Dazzling December

I think most models do not do well when trying to bring cold air into the SE. GFS is really bad. It shows it, then it gone for days and then picks it up again. I know you cannot look at one or two runs and bank on it. U.S. models still need a lot of work. Just my 2 cents worth.
 
GFS tryna go for a tall western ridge this run View attachment 124907
Folks, this is why posting those LR GFS maps that show warmth or cold is dumb and trolling. The model has no clue if it's going to be 70's and tornadoes or 25 and snow from run to run. I guarantee you'll see it flip again by 0Z tonight.
 
Folks, this is why posting those LR GFS maps that show warmth or cold is dumb and trolling. The model has no clue if it's going to be 70's and tornadoes or 25 and snow from run to run. I guarantee you'll see it flip again by 0Z tonight.

Then everyone is a troll. Because no matter what warm or cold everyone is going to post. Warm lovers will post the warm runs and cold lovers will post the cold runs. But you’re right. This gfs model is absolute garbage


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Biggest change is the Pacific becoming more favorable over the past 36 hours of model runs. Looks to sacrifice the strength of the -NAO, but could be more productive in the long run if there's enough cold air.

Why is that? Why do we lose a strong -NAO once the pacific becomes more favorable? That’s so frustrating


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Why is that? Why do we lose a strong -NAO once the pacific becomes more favorable? That’s so frustrating


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Process of a tall pacific ridge destroy -NAO because Arctic energy is trying to plow through the block as the tall western ridge gets established
 
Process of a tall pacific ridge destroy -NAO because Arctic energy is trying to plow through the block as the tall western ridge gets established

Oh dang that makes sense. It’s so hard to get everything to line up perfectly here lol


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