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Tropical Hurricane Fiona

We will have a point of reference coming up as the euro has Fiona going over the SW point of PR and into the passage mostly missing Hispaniola higher mountains. If this due west and slightly further south position changes that then we will see if there's any change to the model thinking.
 
I agree. This one could Rapidly Intensify in 6 hours from now.

Yup they just pulled the trigger and are mentioning RI in the discussion

The upper-level environment over Fiona has improved, and deep-layer
shear is expected to be light to moderate for the next several
days. In fact, along with a favorable thermodynamic environment,
the Rapid Intensification Indices have increased, and now show a
1-in-3 chance of a 30-kt increase over the next 24 hours.
 
Yup they just pulled the trigger and are mentioning RI in the discussion

The upper-level environment over Fiona has improved, and deep-layer
shear is expected to be light to moderate for the next several
days. In fact, along with a favorable thermodynamic environment,
the Rapid Intensification Indices have increased, and now show a
1-in-3 chance of a 30-kt increase over the next 24 hours.
Should eliminate the southern solution set if this happens.
 
Hurricane and forecast to be a majora7421685-3ddc-4d08-b29a-ac57f5e28c64.jpeg

Once it clears Hispaniola tomorrow Bermuda appears to be only real land threat 115624.png
 
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