The set up is because the high pressure is building in and getting stronger as well so it funnels cold air in constantly instead of us banking on it being cold and dry enough before hand
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Pattern Fabulous February
- Thread starter PEA_RIDGE
- Start date
WHAT HR ARE WE LOOKING AT??
OH BOY FELLAS!!!
EURO IS A NO GO..
Baby steps toward GFSv3!
As long as it is FROZEN...
Fv3 still showing the threat for A pretty significant winter storm, weird setup as it goes from rain to ZR/IP, not starting out
WELL NC LOOKS TO STILL BE GETTING A BEATING
I think its two systems very close together, making it look like its one big one. It essentially acts as one
Look at this cad wedge y'all
also..... snowpack!
These might either be major winter storm(s) or the FV3 has a CAD cold bias, no joke lol
NCSNOW
Member
- Joined
- Dec 2, 2016
- Messages
- 9,203
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The Fv3 has the strongest HP: All the 5H look very similar from all models latest runs. Difference is the strength of HP hour 144-150. ALL models are strengthening hp across the NE from 144-150
FV3 =1042
GFS = 1042
EURO = 1034
GDPS = 1029
EPS = 1030
GEFS = 1032
CMCE = 1024
FV3 =1042
GFS = 1042
EURO = 1034
GDPS = 1029
EPS = 1030
GEFS = 1032
CMCE = 1024
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
Fool me once; shame on you. Fool me twice; shame on me. I've been fooled one too many times of late. Wake me when we have this look inside of day 5.
Seriously, until the other guidance comes in line, the FV 3 is pretty much DOA with me; especially in this case where it seems to me (no actual evidence) that this model has a distinct cold bias at this range.
Seriously, until the other guidance comes in line, the FV 3 is pretty much DOA with me; especially in this case where it seems to me (no actual evidence) that this model has a distinct cold bias at this range.
Theres gonna be some strong supercells later in OK/southeast OK with this look, some large hail aswell, also much of Arkansas
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
For CAD events like what’s being modeled, you typically want to see the cold dry air get here first not seeing that in this case
Oof, hopefully cloud cover will help them out, this is the STP....
