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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

SoutheastRidge said:
I wish people got as excited about heavy rainfall as they did about snowfall. You would think with an epic rain event on the way this place would be booming.
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If rain was as rare as snow you would!! Rain don’t excite......


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SoutheastRidge said:
I wish people got as excited about heavy rainfall as they did about snowfall. You would think with an epic rain event on the way this place would be booming.
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I love heavy rain. I like to sit on the porch and watch the rain come down. My guess is that these progged totals will end up being overdone on such a widespread basis, when it's all said and done. And I agree with what Shane said yesterday....I wouldn't be surprised if the axis of the heaviest shifts somewhat northward through time.

GFS.jpg
 
GaWx said:
Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
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Winter.

JK ... ;)
 
Rain Cold said:
I love heavy rain. I like to sit on the porch and watch the rain come down. My guess is that these progged totals will end up being overdone on such a widespread basis, when it's all said and done. And I agree with what Shane said yesterday....I wouldn't be surprised if the axis of the heaviest shifts somewhat northward through time.

View attachment 15776
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I agree I think they will end up overdone.


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GaWx said:
Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
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Verification :)
 
GaWx said:
Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
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We'll get the cold March (actually cold enough to support snow, not last year's crap fest of 36 and slop) and all the weather systems will get squashed, sheared. Mother nature has something against us.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
I wish people got as excited about heavy rainfall as they did about snowfall. You would think with an epic rain event on the way this place would be booming.
Click to expand...

Plain rain is considered evil here and at other wx forums 12/1-2/28. Afterward, it becomes highly desirable.
 
GaWx said:
Regardless, the good news is that the first week of March is still early enough that it can easily still produce wintry magic, even down to Phil's place!
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Larry,
I promise to send you a present, regardless ... LOL ... ;)
Phil
 
GaWx said:
Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
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Don’t mean to toot my own horn but
E1FED38E-3A5F-4CE5-B541-4DEEDF65F0C0.gif
coming!
 
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