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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

SD said:
I'm finally giving in, getting my pre emergent today after work and putting it out. The next 14+ days of non freezing weather along with plenty of rain should start to sprout some spring weeds. Sigh
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Now we know a frigid and wintry march is on the way! :D
 
SD said:
I'm finally giving in, getting my pre emergent today after work and putting it out. The next 14+ days of non freezing weather along with plenty of rain should start to sprout some spring weeds. Sigh
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Already seeing some in my yard unfortunately. Hoping March will be cold enough to put a halt on it.
 
In GSO, we have had some winters with 0.00 snow and several with less that .5 of snow for the winter. The ones with 0.00 (since 1910) are:\
1912-13, 1919-20, 1922-23, 1924-25, 1927-28, 1944-45, 1949-50, 1952-53, 1990-91, 1991-92, 1999-2000. Some interesting things I noticed were that the only 2 back to back snowless winters were in the 90's, the 90's tied with the 1920's for most in a decade, the early years in this list could
be a recording issue since several of the years have asterisks beside them indicating not all days of that month were recorded.
 
The best thing about this crap weather pattern is very little ground temps and sun angle BS.


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ATLwxfan said:
The best thing about this crap weather patten is very little ground temps and sun angle BS.


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Lol. If we ever did have another threat before winter is done there should be a temporary ban on anyone bringing that up after this crappy winter.
 
The Euro has me getting 4.4” of rain!! Wow, the apocalypse is near!! I better start building the ark this afternoon! ??
 
In case y’all were wondering, there can be patterns that lock in for 3-4 weeks and not be heatwaves and flooding!! Seattle D4B34CAB-EB52-416C-991C-47EC92FCEC03.png
 
Winter sucks this bad!!!!6F5A56A9-9A48-4BA8-838B-066D5577DD6D.jpeg7E7EF793-383B-463D-8495-A3F4DDCEFBDA.jpeg
 
E55CA293-E689-45FB-BB69-6F994FF0D755.pngNow it’s happening, if you pay for details!! ???
 
pcbjr said:
SMH ...

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He never gives up but I hope he's right for a change and it is cold in March and April. Unlike many here, I'm not thinking so much about wintry precip since it is very rare here. I just want it comfortably cool like it was last April.

Should he give up so early on his -3 to -5 DJF for most of the SE? Heck, this is still attainable as all he'd need would be -100 anomalies for the average of each day in the last week of Feb. Not likely but doable for sure.
 
GaWx said:
He never gives up but I hope he's right for a change and it is cold in March and April. Unlike many here, I'm not thinking so much about wintry precip since it is very rare here. I just want it comfortably cool like it was last April.

Should he give up so early on his -3 to -5 DJF for most of the SE? Heck, this is still attainable as all he'd need would be -100 anomalies for the average of each day in the last week of Feb. Not likely but doable for sure.
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I don't know if we'll ever have a -3 winter again in our lifetime
 
GaWx said:
He never gives up but I hope he's right for a change and it is cold in March and April. Unlike many here, I'm not thinking so much about wintry precip since it is very rare here. I just want it comfortably cool like it was last April.

Should he give up so early on his -3 to -5 DJF for most of the SE? Heck, this is still attainable as all he'd need would be -100 anomalies for the average of each day in the last week of Feb. Not likely but doable for sure.
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Be careful what you wish for. Do you really want day after day of highs in the 30s and 40s with no snow to show for it ? I would much rather have a warmer than normal March and April with temps in the 60s on a consistent basis. Cold March's and April's are the absolute worst IMO.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Be careful what you wish for. Do you really want day after day of highs in the 30s and 40s with no snow to show for it ? I would much rather have a warmer than normal March and April with temps in the 60s on a consistent basis. Cold March's and April's are the absolute worst IMO.
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In my area, a cool April would mean highs in the 60's to low 70s. That would be what I'm hoping for.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Be careful what you wish for. Do you really want day after day of highs in the 30s and 40s with no snow to show for it ? I would much rather have a warmer than normal March and April with temps in the 60s on a consistent basis. Cold March's and April's are the absolute worst IMO.
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Cooler than normal is still better in March and April than warmer than normal, since above normal will be 75-85 degrees and climbing by April anyway. We don't need Florida weather and mosquitoes spreading up to the rest of the south.
 
SnowE73 said:
Cooler than normal is still better in March and April than warmer than normal, since above normal will be 75-85 degrees and climbing by April anyway. We don't need Florida weather and mosquitoes spreading up to the rest of the south.
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If I had to choose any time of the year for temps to be cooler than normal it would be the summer. The rest of the year can be above normal and I would be fine with that.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
I wish people got as excited about heavy rainfall as they did about snowfall. You would think with an epic rain event on the way this place would be booming.
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If rain was as rare as snow you would!! Rain don’t excite......


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SoutheastRidge said:
I wish people got as excited about heavy rainfall as they did about snowfall. You would think with an epic rain event on the way this place would be booming.
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I love heavy rain. I like to sit on the porch and watch the rain come down. My guess is that these progged totals will end up being overdone on such a widespread basis, when it's all said and done. And I agree with what Shane said yesterday....I wouldn't be surprised if the axis of the heaviest shifts somewhat northward through time.

GFS.jpg
 
GaWx said:
Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
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Winter.

JK ... ;)
 
Rain Cold said:
I love heavy rain. I like to sit on the porch and watch the rain come down. My guess is that these progged totals will end up being overdone on such a widespread basis, when it's all said and done. And I agree with what Shane said yesterday....I wouldn't be surprised if the axis of the heaviest shifts somewhat northward through time.

View attachment 15776
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I agree I think they will end up overdone.


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GaWx said:
Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
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Verification :)
 
GaWx said:
Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
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We'll get the cold March (actually cold enough to support snow, not last year's crap fest of 36 and slop) and all the weather systems will get squashed, sheared. Mother nature has something against us.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
I wish people got as excited about heavy rainfall as they did about snowfall. You would think with an epic rain event on the way this place would be booming.
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Plain rain is considered evil here and at other wx forums 12/1-2/28. Afterward, it becomes highly desirable.
 
GaWx said:
Regardless, the good news is that the first week of March is still early enough that it can easily still produce wintry magic, even down to Phil's place!
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Larry,
I promise to send you a present, regardless ... LOL ... ;)
Phil
 
GaWx said:
Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
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Don’t mean to toot my own horn but
E1FED38E-3A5F-4CE5-B541-4DEEDF65F0C0.gif
coming!
 
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