• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical TS Henri

BHS1975 said:
Oooof

29117c30bb11b433f0cfd02d3682ab84.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Yeah but that is still all relative.....its above normal off NE but still colder than needed to support a tropical system...
 
Recon going to investigate Henri tomorrow.
TROPICAL STORM HENRI
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
A. 19/1800Z A. 20/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0108A HENRI B. NOAA9 0208A HENRI
C. 19/1500Z C. 19/1730Z
D. 30.0N 70.6W D. NA
E. 19/1630Z TO 19/2000Z E. NA
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 43
A. 20/1200Z A. 20/1200Z
B. NOAA9 0308A HENRI B. NOAA3 0408A HENRI
C. 20/0530Z C. 20/0800Z
D. NA D. 30.7N 72.4W
E. NA E. 20/1000Z TO 20/1400Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 72
A. 20/1200Z
B. AFXXX 0508A HENRI
C. 20/0900Z
D. 30.7N 72.4W
E. 20/1030Z TO 20/1400Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

B. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON HENRI AT 20/2330Z.
C. TWO MORE NOAA 49 G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSIONS AROUND
HENRI FOR THE 21/0000Z AND 21/1200Z SYNOPTIC TIMES,
DEPARTING KLAL AT 20/1730Z AND 21/0503Z.
D. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS INTO HENRI DEPARTING
KLAL AT 20/2000Z AND 21/0800Z.
Click to expand...
 
Interesting to note the Hurricane models
HMON 12z follows suit in hitting Long Island .. but the storm is significantly weak
HWRF 12z also follows with a Long Island hit but definitely stronger but significantly weakening upon arrival
 
Downeastnc said:
Yeah but that is still all relative.....its above normal off NE but still colder than needed to support a tropical system...
Click to expand...

I think upper level dynamics will give Henri an extra kick if the GFS solution comes to fruition. 200Mb charts shows a negatively tilted trough through the Carolinas. Makes for an interesting setup.
 
...HENRI ALMOST A HURRICANE...
...INTERESTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 67.6W
ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 790 MI...1275 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

The models continue their westward
shift, and the NHC track forecast has again been adjusted in that
direction and no longer shows a northeastward motion out to sea. In
particular, the westward adjustment at day 5 was a sizable 150
miles, and even with this shift the NHC forecast is still a little
to the east of some of the consensus aids. NOAA Gulfstream IV
missions and special weather balloon soundings have been scheduled,
and it is hoped that this additional data will help the models
handle the evolving steering pattern. Given the uncertainty in the
longer range track forecast, users should be prepared for additional
adjustments to the NHC track prediction in future forecast cycles.
 
Like that they are going to be doing special balloon launches and starting the GIV missions. This will be the most interesting time for any major shifts in the models.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top