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Tropical TS Henri

Thor said:
This could be a big problem for the NE and now only about 3 days out. HWRF has it diving inland and just kind of spinning out over land.
View attachment 88720View attachment 88721

We will never hear the end of it.....Sandy
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Here’s when it finally makes landfall … it’s weakening significantly on approach … eh this thing ain’t no sandy 0E67CB81-9FF4-4399-9F49-687DEA4C20A4.png
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Here’s when it finally makes landfall … it’s weakening significantly on approach … eh this thing ain’t no sandy View attachment 88726
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It’s virtually impossible to get a strengthening cane on landfall there . That thing is fighting very cold water . Sandy technically was doing the same thing, it technically wasn’t a cane , but a hybrid storm . Which aided it actually more as it gave it a much larger wind field .
 
Lickwx said:
It’s virtually impossible to get a strengthening cane on landfall there . That thing is fighting very cold water . Sandy technically was doing the same thing, it technically wasn’t a cane , but a hybrid storm . Which aided it actually more as it gave it a much larger wind field .
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Yeah its more about where it's hitting than strength. We are hardened down here with hurricanes, they are certainly not in that area. It will test a lot of infrastructure if it actually happens. They are used to Noreasters though so we will see.
 
Bannerdude said:
View attachment 88727

Latest Euro ensemble map
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This is a pretty big jump west.....probably factoring in the more south movement now maybe....NC especially the OBX better not sleep on this just yet.....notice also that the further west members are all S of W in the short term....which is what we are seeing versus the well OTS which show N or W motion and weak now....

us_cyclone-en-087-0_euro_2021081906_15844_481_240.png
 
Downeastnc said:
This is a pretty big jump west.....probably factoring in the more south movement now maybe....NC especially the OBX better not sleep on this just yet.....notice also that the further west members are all S of W in the short term....which is what we are seeing versus the well OTS which show N or W motion and weak now....

View attachment 88729
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If we continue to see SW movement and some strengthening were going to be seeing some big changes in ensembles and models in general
 
Thor said:
Yeah its more about where it's hitting than strength. We are hardened down here with hurricanes, they are certainly not in that area. It will test a lot of infrastructure if it actually happens. They are used to Noreasters though so we will see.
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Yeah you'd have to think putting eastern Long Island, the CT, RI, MA coasts in the right front quadrant will cause some issues. It might be better for them if it stays offshore then does the slow loop at least that would keep much of the surge at bay
 
SD said:
Yeah you'd have to think putting eastern Long Island, the CT, RI, MA coasts in the right front quadrant will cause some issues. It might be better for them if it stays offshore then does the slow loop at least that would keep much of the surge at bay
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I was kind of looking for a Surge comparison. Maybe Hurricane Bob, probably not as strong and a bit more on the coast but a lot has been built here in the last 30 years too.
Hurricane Bob.PNG
 
SD said:
Yeah you'd have to think putting eastern Long Island, the CT, RI, MA coasts in the right front quadrant will cause some issues. It might be better for them if it stays offshore then does the slow loop at least that would keep much of the surge at bay
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Those western Euro ens would pile water into Delaware Bay and points north depending on how big and strong the system is....

Really really hate there has been no recon yet on a system right off the east coast that could effect the US in as early as 48 hrs yet they have been flying Grace since it entered the islands....
 
I was stomped on, laughed at and spit at for saying the OBX is still within a risk of a hit. Regardless, flooding, rip currents and big waves are gonna crash into the OBX now and cause some damage. Erosion will be bad.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
I was stomped on, laughed at and spit at for saying the OBX is still within a risk of a hit. Regardless, flooding, rip currents and big waves are gonna crash into the OBX now and cause some damage. Erosion will be bad.
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NC-12 washout. Will erosion be bad though? NE winds cause the most erosion on the OBX if I'm not mistaken.
 
12Z UKMET goes over Long Island not far from NYC!

TROPICAL STORM HENRI ANALYSED POSITION : 29.4N 70.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082021

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 19.08.2021 0 29.4N 70.4W 983 64
0000UTC 20.08.2021 12 29.6N 72.5W 980 66
1200UTC 20.08.2021 24 30.0N 74.1W 976 74
0000UTC 21.08.2021 36 31.1N 74.5W 973 72
1200UTC 21.08.2021 48 33.5N 73.6W 959 88
0000UTC 22.08.2021 60 37.5N 72.4W 954 80
1200UTC 22.08.2021 72 40.5N 73.1W 962 67
0000UTC 23.08.2021 84 41.4N 73.6W 988 39
1200UTC 23.08.2021 96 42.2N 72.5W 997 30
0000UTC 24.08.2021 108 42.7N 71.0W 1001 27
1200UTC 24.08.2021 120 43.6N 68.7W 1004 25
0000UTC 25.08.2021 132 45.9N 64.9W 1006 24
1200UTC 25.08.2021 144 47.8N 58.7W 1008 26
 
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