introverted trough?
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September Sizzling Summer Segway
- Thread starter Tarheel1
- Start date
Don’t want it becoming cut off or further west
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Looks good to me!
Getting closer and closer to the euro with cutting something off 
BufordWX
Member
Yeah that don’t look pretty, CMC is quite far south to, which is unusual for a late September setup
BufordWX
Member
Yeah, that looks like something we would see in winter. Lol
Yeah looking over it it’s so far south that there wouldn’t be much severe at all, maybe in ENC
Farther north then the CMC, man I wish I could see soundings 
Ok euro slow it down some more 
BufordWX
Member
Winter will be over by the time this system comes through. Lol
This is getting ridiculous no joke lol, went from Monday to now Thursday when it arrives
With the slow down there’s still severe wx, if there’s one thing I’m noticing, it’s that the flow is very unidirectional, while there could be supercells with this type of setup, this just screams low topped QLCS 
Some euro soundings across NC/VA 
Who needs to view models when [mention]Myfrotho704_ [/mention] is on top of the severe wx threat. 
Keep it up buddy I’m learning from you.
On another note: Seems like the GFS handles tropical ULL better than zonal ULL? Euro is the exact opposite.
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Keep it up buddy I’m learning from you. On another note: Seems like the GFS handles tropical ULL better than zonal ULL? Euro is the exact opposite.
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Thanks man and yeah GFS progressive bias is really been harsh on it with that setup next week, and this year in generalWho needs to view models when [mention]Myfrotho704_ [/mention] is on top of the severe wx threat.
On another note: Seems like the GFS handles tropical ULL better than zonal ULL? Euro is the exact opposite.
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Some UK soundings across NC/VA as well, wind profiles are extremely favorable for a QLCS 
BHS1975
Member
Yeah looks ugly. Dews will surge back into the mid 70s so no CAD to save us this time.
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Is this threat thread worthy ?
Probably
13z hHrrrhahahrrRR is fairly generous with the rainfall for south-central portions of NC.
Icon still trending the wrong way, so close to going negative tilt, can see the response each run in a stronger low level wind field 
BufordWX
Member
Some action may try to get going in South Carolina this afternoon.
I swear, if it’s not a winter weather event, don’t EVER underestimate a wedge. We just got to 65F (forecast high was 73) and the warm front has barely budged the last few hours
iGRXY
Member
Northern part of the county we have been stuck at 62 all day with a solid breeze.
Here in eastern Union County were up to 69 with a forecast high of 76... one county south over the state line in Chesterfield just had a tornado warning about 30 minutes ago.
Solid structure on this cell in 
SC
SC
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Tornado warning for Robeson County.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Just like 99% of the time this year all the action is south and east of the Triangle.
It'll be interesting to see how far north the 2 cells to our south can go
?
Yo this thing is ripping
this storm is basically going off MUcape right now vs SB 
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
From WRAL
This is the strongest wind signature I've seen this evening. Prepare for damaging winds and hail if you are in the warning area.
This is the strongest wind signature I've seen this evening. Prepare for damaging winds and hail if you are in the warning area.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
A Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued for parts of the Triangle until 8 PM. 60 mph wind gusts and 1" hail are possible. This storm has a history of producing hail and is moving NE at 35 mph. Includes parts of Wake, Lee, Chatham, Durham, Harnett & Orange Counties.
?? and it wouldn’t shock me if this thing is producing near golf ball sized hail 
