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Pattern Scorchtember

KyloG said:
Patience, we have been on a streak of AN falls, the last BN fall I remember was in 2009. Maybe this is a new norm and we should just accept it. No coincidence that we are on a streak of AN winters.

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We certainly have seen a shift to a predominantly -pna/+nao look during the transition seasons and winter. Thankfully the ridge over AK can be oriented in certain ways that it can provide cold for us even in the the face of an otherwise meh background setup. I'm not sure if this just a multi year thing or a climate thing but chances are it'll flip at some point.

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GaWx said:
Yeah, I'd give 100 something like a 10% chance....so not out of the realm of possibilities. That would make it the latest 100 by 8 days going back to 1879!!
As it is, I think 98+ is about a 2 in 3 chance as of now. 99+ is maybe a 1 in 3 chance. I can't believe we're talking about temps like this on 9/17 in Atlanta!
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1. KATL: 98 it is! 5th record high of the month!
2. MCN: 103, which is the hottest so late in the season by 9 days!
 
Tarheel1 said:
Yep, drought begets drought! The least amount of precip, is over the current driest spots!
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Yep it’s so dry there’s even pop up showers currently from upstate Greenville to Charlotte.
 
Another day in the upper 90's here in NW GA. I have so many leaves falling but there is still so much green on the trees mixed in with a dead brown. At this rate there will be no leaves left for any nice fall color.

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Ah yes the ol miss on both sides.
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Nice to get some outflow from Imelda today. Kept the airport high today to 93 instead of the projected 95. Also got in on some sprinkles. Hopefully Imelda can send some love this way tonight.
 
Couple days of hot humid then we cool somewhat with less humid. That's a win for me.
 
Man, it’s rippin fatties!???
 
SouthATLwx said:
Yeah, the end of the 00z EURO is pretty tragic.

Whoever said we were done with the 95*F+ temps might have also jinxed everything.
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The GFS isn't any better. Has above normal temps dominating the SE (and eastern seaboard) into the first days of October.
We need to really enjoy these next few days (..then it's back to heat).
 
We’ve often seen the ridge get beaten back so much of the south gets relief except GA and FL. At least we are suffering together. At the end of the GFS we are looking at overnight lows in the 70’s in NYC. That’s got to be a record for early October.


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ATLwxfan said:
We’ve often seen the ridge get beaten back so much of the south gets relief except GA and FL. At least we are suffering together. At the end of the GFS we are looking at overnight lows in the 70’s in NYC. That’s got to be a record for early October.


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Oh and I’m just gonna add this and maybe it gets removed but that whole sloshing bathtub theory is a load of crap. The bath water is hot...that’s all there is to it.


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FallsLake said:
The GFS isn't any better. Has above normal temps dominating the SE (and eastern seaboard) into the first days of October.
We need to really enjoy these next few days (..then it's back to heat).
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GFS is better in that it keeps the ridge flatter for longer.
 
ATLwxfan said:
Maybe but verbatim we are 90+ for 7 days with no rain. Oh and overnight lows in the mid to upper 70’s. More records to break.


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The hot nights will really hurts. We're all used to warm days popping up all the way through October, but the nights are usually not bad.
 
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