• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern November 2023

.25” for the event which gives me .43” for November following .32” for October. I had 1.4” for September. My last rain over .75” was August 29th. Flash drought is a real thing.
 
BullCityWx said:
-------- mentioned that Charlotte got more rain yesterday than in the previous combined eighty days.
Click to expand...
Thought we were doing better than we were today is the first rain of more than a T or .01 in 30 days and more than we have had combined since ophelia about 60 days ago. 1.76 so far with maybe another .1-.15 to go
 
EmersonGA said:
.25” for the event which gives me .43” for November following .32” for October. I had 1.4” for September. My last rain over .75” was August 29th. Flash drought is a real thing.
Click to expand...
I ended up with .7” thanks to the last minute line that formed. 1.5” for the month.
 
I got 2.70 inches here near Lake Wheeler in Wake County. This system was an overperformer and if this any indication of how El Nino is going to bring the goods, I am in store for a wet and if the cold air will cooperate, snowy winter. If this had been a snow event it would have been epic.
 
tractor girl said:
This horrible dry slot continues for the next 7-10 days. fml

View attachment 138099
Click to expand...
gfs_apcpn_us_64.png
 
NoSnowATL said:
gfs_apcpn_us_64.png
Click to expand...

That supposed to be helpful?
It says from Nov6 through Dec6, we are already at Nov 22 and my specific area has a little over 1" rain for the last month. As I just posted, we expect no rain for the next 10 days. Everyone knows hr 240+, esp out towards 300+ isn't super reliable for predicting anything.

We are also still very much in D2 Severe Drought.
Screenshot at 2023-11-22 10-28-15.png
 
tractor girl said:
That supposed to be helpful?
It says from Nov6 through Dec6, we are already at Nov 22 and my specific area has a little over 1" rain for the last month. As I just posted, we expect no rain for the next 10 days. Everyone knows hr 240+, esp out towards 300+ isn't super reliable for predicting anything.

We are also still very much in D2 Severe Drought.
View attachment 138100
Click to expand...
No that's the latest run starting today, just goes out to 384 not 270. We def need more rain and we will in the coming weeks.
 
NoSnowATL said:
No that's the latest run starting today, just goes out to 384 not 270. We def need more rain and we will in the coming weeks.
Click to expand...
Here's GFS 6z from 6 to 312, which shows zero rain in our area:
gfs_apcpn_seus_fh6-312.gif

And here's further out into fantasy land on the same run.

Everybody here knows how useless GFS is in this time range. I've seen rain like this in the 300+ hr range on GFS pretty regularly over the past month and precious little came to fruition. Why should it be different now?

gfs_apcpn_seus_fh312-384.gif
 
Still watching Saturday night here... Gonna be a very close call

The best precipitation chances
(50-70%) will occur Saturday evening and through the overnight
hours. There remains a potential of light rain mixing in with
light snow along the OK/KS border late Saturday night into Sunday
morning, specifically for northwestern portions of Osage and
Pawnee Counties. Travel impacts are still not anticipated at this
time with little to no snow accumulation forecast. As the previous
forecast discussion mentioned, the forecast will continue to be
refined as the event draws closer.
 
Where did the energy come from this afternoon? Was riding on the ambulance and the rain in eastern Union (NC) Monroe, Wingate area, was not expected along with the thunder/lightning. Last I looked , last night , the rain was supposed to be gone by late morning.
 
SD said:
How much rain in jonesvegas last night?
Click to expand...
We got 1.90 last night because the line slowed down over our area. The 18z GFS is fairly dry through day 10 and stays that way for most of the Carolinas and GA through hour 384, with a couple of pockets of .75 plus totals so it is a good thing much of NC and SC got good rain yesterday. West of the mountains does better with up to 2 inches out there, still after day 10 through so we will see what happens.
 
JHS said:
We got 1.90 last night because the line slowed down over our area. The 18z GFS is fairly dry through day 10 and stays that way for most of the Carolinas and GA through hour 384, with a couple of pockets of .75 plus totals so it is a good thing much of NC and SC got good rain yesterday. West of the mountains does better with up to 2 inches out there, still after day 10 through so we will see what happens.
Click to expand...
So sorry about the 1.90” of rain. T’s & P’s.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top