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Pattern Nippy November

Yes, most big snows are more favorable in the months of December/Jan. in the Southeast, but if a good solid winter like pattern sets up, a big snow storm can still happen before December (during the fall months of course) It's just like how big snows can happen in the month of March, it's just opposite.

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For ATL it’s JFM, it rare for December. I know we had on one the west side a few years ago but it’s more rare then March.


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Yes, most big snows are more favorable in the months of December/Jan. in the Southeast, but if a good solid winter like pattern sets up, a big snow storm can still happen before December (during the fall months of course) It's just like how big snows can happen in the month of March, it's just opposite.

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Listen if we squeak out a legitimate winter storm here in the deep south from Texas through Georgia before December... Im going skydiving in the snow
 
For ATL it’s JFM, it rare for December. I know we had on one the west side a few years ago but it’s more rare then March.


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Yes, it's rare for accumulating snow for the ATL area in the month of November, but big snows can happen. I'm really liking the looks on the upcoming pattern, it has potential written all over it.

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Yes, most big snows are more favorable in the months of December/Jan. in the Southeast, but if a good solid winter like pattern sets up, a big snow storm can still happen before December (during the fall months of course) It's just like how big snows can happen in the month of March, it's just opposite.

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Yeah, I was surprised when Larry's research show some fairly big snows down this way in Dec. I only remember ones of significance showing up after Christmas day.
 
Hey, El K, did you get you some rain, lol? I'm in a lull, just short bands coming thru but up to 4.1, and it looks like the bulk of what's coming across is headed your way.
 
Hey, El K, did you get you some rain, lol? I'm in a lull, just short bands coming thru but up to 4.1, and it looks like the bulk of what's coming across is headed your way.
Sir, I’m sorry it’s no way you up to no 4.1 if you are in the SE today.
 
I’m showing ,70 for the last 24hrs. Not sure how you are getting so lucky!
Training. All night long. Just poured. Got real lucky last time too Fide over in Fayetteville had a good bit less. I've missed the sweet spot for so many years, I love it when one finds me, lol.
 
Training. All night long. Just poured. Got real lucky last time too Fide over in Fayetteville had a good bit less. I've missed the sweet spot for so many years, I love it when one finds me, lol.
Sorry, I thought I was responding to El K, lol.
 
500mb anomalies for the days leading up
Thanks. That’s a pretty anomalous pattern, but that CAD and storm, were crazy! I remember it so well, we got a lot more sleet than expected, probably 1” or so and then atleast 3/4” ZR accretion, was supposed to be all ZR. I think a secondary storm rode up behind the 1st one, prolonging the event by 6-12 hours! And temp @26 , during the peak!
 
Webber, do you think the mjo being in phases 8-2 possibly moving forward will limit the chances of a SSW in the future? I was curious
 
Impressive rain event today. This has lasted much longer than expected. We may still technically be in a drought but the rivers and ponds around here are full and the ground is soggy. Next
 
Impressive rain event today. This has lasted much longer than expected. We may still technically be in a drought but the rivers and ponds around here are full and the ground is soggy. Next
Has Shetley received any precipitation in the last several months?

And whoa mama at the Greenland block at the end of the 18z GFS!
 
Has Shetley received any precipitation in the last several months?

And whoa mama at the Greenland block at the end of the 18z GFS!
I co-sign what I’m seeing. If I ever start my own monthly sub-thread, my only rule is that operational runs be taken as gospel til the end of the run. No exceptions
 
My area on the northern Gulf coast, in the western part of the SE, tends to get snow DJF. By March the sun angle is beginning to work its magic on any potential cold weather storms. The last 20 years the good snows have tended to come about in December actually. 2008, 2010, 2011, 2017 all come to mind. It probably works better on my side of the SE than for some of y'all because I'm more in the direct path of arctic highs that come down the Great Plains. Areas near and east of the Apps are a different ballgame, as I understand it.
 
I'd say about a little over hour ago, this rain event got crazy, and it's still going at a good clip with the short range I looked at suggesting it not really slowing up until later in the morning.

My 1-2" guess is gonna be low I bet. Wouldn't be surprised if we got about 4" as well.
 
We’ve had around 1/2-3/4 inch of rain here in southern Greenville county in the last 24 hours (still coming down) Mid to northern portions of the county have only seen a couple hundredths at best. Some areas have been completely shut out..#DroughtBuster
 
Really windy here today. At least it's not raining. I was thinking about blowing leaves in the front yard to the curb for the town to pick up, but with this wind I think it might be pointless.
 
Checked the rain gauge this morning while it was still raining. About 2.9" in the gauge and when I got back in, it picked up. Wouldn't be surprised if I was pushed over 3" during the 30 mins to an hour or so after I came back in. Might still not be over.

So wet and soggy outside. It wasn't that cold but the sogginess made it feel colder than it was.
 
Hard to complain for late November
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