cd2play
Member
We're being punished.
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Miserable March
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
CMC is a winter storm Wilkes County NC and points north-East under 150hrs. Let’s see if euro trends colder tonight. For now, I’m thinking onset ice to all rain with little to no impact.
Nomanslandva
Member
Lots of EPS members with things of interest but it seems like this year we really have not seen trends to colder on the CAD events. Everything this year has just gon the wrong way. The ones we needed to trend NW didn't and the ones we needed to hold, shifted. Or should I say shafted...
Well at least it looks like we broke our typical March weather pattern.. so there'll be called snaps but maybe not like last year
Another ridge flex signal starting to appear around d10, it’s these “squished” ridges that can produce real warm weather, especially with that system to the west meaning warm sector 
NoSnowATL
Member
Especially with it being warm weather talk.
NoSnowATL
Member
Its getting closer, I don’t like the CAD events popping up every weekend. Hopefully that will change soon. Looks like the rains are lessening as well .
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FWIW can really start to see the switch in seasons at the end of the ensembles Out of winter, ofc there smoothed out mean enhances this but average 500mb heights are slowly increasing, the SPV is weakening from a FSWE (question mark that could bring temporary cool weather) 
but its headed towards it summer mode regardless, and the LR patterns on the ensembles look more legit for severe, there also showing a signs of burying the TPV back far away from the US and suppressing the ridge into the aluetains/GOA, which often means a more stable SER, we’ll see if this holds but I hope it does, really take any sort of warmth at this point even if it doesn’t do much to COVID19
but its headed towards it summer mode regardless, and the LR patterns on the ensembles look more legit for severe, there also showing a signs of burying the TPV back far away from the US and suppressing the ridge into the aluetains/GOA, which often means a more stable SER, we’ll see if this holds but I hope it does, really take any sort of warmth at this point even if it doesn’t do much to COVID19
This may be a problem tho, hmm, wonder what happens when it reaches PH3/4 into the maritime continent, @Webberweather53 what do you think ? 
Currently 81*F.
I was in Buford car shopping and noticed the gradient.
It actually rained there and was cloudy for most of the day until late in the afternoon, while the balance of the day in Newnan was Sunny.
Good news. The rest of March looks to be quite warm overall with all but 2 days AN and the other 2 days near normal. It is looking to be one of the warmest Marches on record.
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Little mini supercell in E GA rn 
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Jeff Piotrowski is chasing in TX.
Hard to see in between radar sites but that supercell northeast of Augusta has increased its rotation 
Suprised the SPC hasn’t put out a marginal, solid setup for isolated severe storms given the boundary with solid SRH, decent CAPE, and solid eff bulk shear 
Likely some hail with this storm south of Augusta 
GeorgiaGirl
Member
That storm just went under a severe thunderstorm warning a few minutes ago. I'm wondering if whether it's going to end up coming over me but it's track has shifted from northeast to east so maybe not.
Yea, strongest/tallest storm of the day, actually a decent little supercell, hail/wind the threat altho its trying to rotate
Looks like the supercell is splitting, hodos are a bit straight
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Meanwhile in Texas ?
bingcrosbyb
Member
Large tornado near Chico, TX per spotters!
bingcrosbyb
Member
Power flashes per spotters near Chico, Texas
bingcrosbyb
Member
Brent
Member
Was just gonna post that fortunately it's away from most of the population
Ridge flex trending stronger around day 7-10
Woah 
I was stationed out that way. Actually southwest of there Dyess AFB is SW of Abilene and I was at Goodfellow AFB in San Angelo which is SW of Dyess.
GoDuke
Member
Looking likely that it’s gonna get warm next week, including more 80 degree days with another ridge flex, if we continue getting these ridge flexes into April then summer like temps would be possible, only issue is those troughs swinging through in SE Canada, so a CAD setup could pop up 
Today marks the 3rd consecutive day of 80*F+ temps.
The big difference between this year and the last 2 year is that we're finally see a normal spring transition (trees / flowers are gradually budding and blooming with roller coaster temps), versus trees in full bloom by mid/late February.
The big difference between this year and the last 2 year is that we're finally see a normal spring transition (trees / flowers are gradually budding and blooming with roller coaster temps), versus trees in full bloom by mid/late February.
Looks like we’ve broken our streak of a cold March, maybe April can be AN aswell, altho that -NAO is still appearing in the LR, looks like that ridge flex next week will provide more borderline heat
84, can't complain....looks at Sunday nvm
Downeastnc
Member
Currently 86 at PGV, this ties the record high for the date.....might set a new one here in the next hr....
tennessee storm
Member
Next week late models indicating a severe threat worth watching ... nice deep gulf moisture ahead of portent trough
cd2play
Member
No thank you. With the covid19 and crap, severe weather is the LAST thing we need.
We NEVER need severe wx...virus or not! Ask the folks in Nashville.
GFS brings on a legit warmup next week, temps likely will be warmer than this to since the GFS Is often to low with temps so mid 80s to low 90s would be possible 
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I think low-90s are a stretch, mid-80s might be possible though.