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Miserable March

CMC is a winter storm Wilkes County NC and points north-East under 150hrs. Let’s see if euro trends colder tonight. For now, I’m thinking onset ice to all rain with little to no impact.
 
CMC is a winter storm Wilkes County NC and points north-East under 150hrs. Let’s see if euro trends colder tonight. For now, I’m thinking onset ice to all rain with little to no impact.
Lots of EPS members with things of interest but it seems like this year we really have not seen trends to colder on the CAD events. Everything this year has just gon the wrong way. The ones we needed to trend NW didn't and the ones we needed to hold, shifted. Or should I say shafted...
 
Well at least it looks like we broke our typical March weather pattern.. so there'll be called snaps but maybe not like last year
 
Another ridge flex signal starting to appear around d10, it’s these “squished” ridges that can produce real warm weather, especially with that system to the west meaning warm sector 22DD5472-E2FE-48D4-9DC6-43D8975913C9.png9BE53557-2BF9-4319-ACFB-928869BDC0E4.pngB2F45099-7EA4-4856-9D6C-40583C720DEB.png
 
FWIW can really start to see the switch in seasons at the end of the ensembles Out of winter, ofc there smoothed out mean enhances this but average 500mb heights are slowly increasing, the SPV is weakening from a FSWE (question mark that could bring temporary cool weather) 414D87B7-B84C-4A13-B094-975C413877C5.png
but its headed towards it summer mode regardless, and the LR patterns on the ensembles look more legit for severe, there also showing a signs of burying the TPV back far away from the US and suppressing the ridge into the aluetains/GOA, which often means a more stable SER, we’ll see if this holds but I hope it does, really take any sort of warmth at this point even if it doesn’t do much to COVID19
CF3D0B06-00AF-49B1-8EAA-B8B20E4A83AA.png2A7D640E-CEB6-4AC5-8F1C-996ECD916313.png
 
Hard to see in between radar sites but that supercell northeast of Augusta has increased its rotation 1D44E970-FF0D-468A-B033-FEE8686ED420.png9D76043E-A5B3-46C9-8233-8651E9948C1F.png
 
Suprised the SPC hasn’t put out a marginal, solid setup for isolated severe storms given the boundary with solid SRH, decent CAPE, and solid eff bulk shear 90F48C8B-4019-4856-B734-0CCEA17C437F.jpeg95308863-A5F2-456E-B5D2-164A1CAFFA7D.gif
 
That storm just went under a severe thunderstorm warning a few minutes ago. I'm wondering if whether it's going to end up coming over me but it's track has shifted from northeast to east so maybe not.
 
That storm just went under a severe thunderstorm warning a few minutes ago. I'm wondering if whether it's going to end up coming over me but it's track has shifted from northeast to east so maybe not.

Yea, strongest/tallest storm of the day, actually a decent little supercell, hail/wind the threat altho its trying to rotate 98AF0DE0-DBE1-48D8-BCB2-BED22888FFCE.pngF27E9865-3057-4870-B1CA-E77D335B8537.png
 
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