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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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I think the nam is just throwing darts, with hope one will be right.

Seriously though we're getting close to where we can use it.
 
I take it the conference call had nothing to do with Irma and possible impacts on AL.
Nope something about 10 shipping containers that are on the water and 5 that are at customs getting a VACIS basically an xray. My luck they will get flagged and held for further inspection . I guess I should have listened to the call lol

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Nope something about 10 shipping containers that are on the water and 5 that are at customs getting a VACIS basically an xray. My luck they will get flagged and held for further inspection . I guess I should have listened to the call lol

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That sucks

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Lol, navy 6z also having Irma looping on around inland. Just notice that
 
Jose is almost a category 5 hurricane right now and it looks like Irma is trying to make a run back towards category 5 status. Who would have thought we'd ever have a chance to see 2 category 5 hurricanes at once, well we have that chance today...
Has there ever been two Cat 5 hurricanes at once in recorded history in the Atlantic basin ?
 
The Hurricane Watch has been extended northward along the east
coast of Florida to the Flagler/Volusia County Line, and along the
west coast of Florida to Anclote River.

still a Cat 4 for now
 
Jose is almost a category 5 hurricane right now and it looks like Irma is trying to make a run back towards category 5 status. Who would have thought we'd ever have a chance to see 2 category 5 hurricanes at once, well we have that chance today...
Exactly. Yesterday I asked if there was a chance it could run for a 5, and that may come true now. On another note, looks like Irma will pass Phil as a 1.
 
No there hasn't. We also are getting very close to have 3 major hurricanes at once (Irma, Jose, and Katia) and that's happened only twice in history (1933 & 2010)

We also broke an all time daily accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) record yesterday in the Atlantic, and I think we're about to break our own record today...
Screen Shot 2017-09-08 at 11.04.59 AM.png
 
Webb, since your on here, before you suddenly disappear again Lol, whats your current take on Irma path? Thanks Accu
 
093751_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
 
Webb, since your on here, before you suddenly disappear again, whats your current take on Irma path? Thanks Accu

I thought Irma had a shot to come east of FL a day or two ago but I think those chances are dwindling as yet again the Azores-Bermuda high has become stronger and more extensive than forecast...If anything, I'm getting more worried about this trying to sneak up the west coast of FL where many residents in SE FL chose to evacuate to in advance of the hurricane. Interaction w/ Cuba and even some of its modestly high terrain may weaken Irma a bit and could cause the circulation to erratically meander or get shoved west of its current forecast.
 
As far as I'm concerned for the states of N.C and S.C I'm ecstatic for this west trend, for other areas I'm scared for.
 
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Looking better for inland areas especially northern Georgia . Sure there will be strong wind gusts but the extreme scenarios have backed off

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Looking better for inland areas especially northern Georgia . Sure there will be strong wind gusts but the extreme scenarios have backed off

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Is that due to the further west track ? Or what is the reason ?
 
Looking better for inland areas especially northern Georgia . Sure there will be strong wind gusts but the extreme scenarios have backed off

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GFS and euro still have 60-80 mph gusts in N Ga and Upstate SC
 
If the most recent tracks we've seen verify, its not looking as bad as it could have been north of Florida. Just nasty severe weather.
 
Is that due to the further west track ? Or what is the reason ?
Longer time over land but to me it looks like the models have slowed down a little post landfall . A slower moving system is better than one that zips through like Opal did

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