• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Januworry

Ron Burgundy said:
I live near Chastain Park ITP and FFC has me below freezing three nights from Sun - Thurs. Seems like progress to me.
Click to expand...
I know, I am just talking about the ridiculous broad brushed forecast that FFC does, they could at least say 27-33 etc, not just low 30s. We do not live in Mayberry.
 
Ron Burgundy said:
I live near Chastain Park ITP and FFC has me below freezing three nights from Sun - Thurs. Seems like progress to me.
Click to expand...
Looking at the 18z models so far, NAM has Atlanta metro barely touching freezing Monday and Tuesday morning. ICON doesn't get to freezing anywhere near Atlanta (low to mid 30's at best), GFS isn't in yet. RGM has Atlanta in the upper 20's on Tuesday morning but the Canadian's are always too cold. I'm thinking there is a good chance we stay above freezing through mid-week. It will warm after Tuesday, so maybe the freeze will hit on the 7th or 8th? Still, wayyyyy to late in the season for a hard freeze. At this point, all of my vegetation is starting to growing so I hope we don't get any sub 32 temps for the remainder of the winter.
 
weatherfide said:
Looking at the 18z models so far, NAM has Atlanta metro barely touching freezing Monday and Tuesday morning. ICON doesn't get to freezing anywhere near Atlanta (low to mid 30's at best), GFS isn't in yet. RGM has Atlanta in the upper 20's on Tuesday morning but the Canadian's are always too cold. I'm thinking there is a good chance we stay above freezing through mid-week. It will warm after Tuesday, so maybe the freeze will hit on the 7th or 8th? Still, wayyyyy to late in the season for a hard freeze. At this point, all of my vegetation is starting to growing so I hope we don't get any sub 32 temps for the remainder of the winter.
Click to expand...
Look above, that is what I just said. What does "wayyyyy" too late in the season mean?
 
Ron Burgundy said:
Must be a Miller B. NGA always gets hosed on the transfer.
Click to expand...

They sometime do and often give NC much more wintry precip (that’s climo, bro). A GOM Miller A/+PNA combo is the best bet for a major ATL/N GA near pure snowstorm hands down even though NC will usually get more (again, climo) and sometimes a lot more.
 
GaWx said:
They sometime do and often give NC much more snow (that’s climo, bro), but a GOM Miller A/+PNA combo is the best bet for a major ATL/N GA near pure snowstorm hands down even though NC will usually get more and sometimes a lot more.
Click to expand...

How do us areas further west typically fare with the upcoming setup?
 
Parker said:
How do us areas further west typically fare with the upcoming setup?
Click to expand...

For AL to get a significant snow from a Miller A/+PNA, the trough axis usually needs to be near or west of the Mississippi River. I can’t tell you chances in the upcoming setup doing just that (predicting snowstorms well in advance nearly impossible), but getting a +PNA is a big first step.
 
GaWx said:
For AL to get a significant snow from a Miller A/+PNA, the trough axis usually needs to be near or west of the Mississippi River. I can’t tell you chances in the upcoming setup doing just that (predicting snowstorms well in advance nearly impossible), but getting a +PNA is a big first step.
Click to expand...
How about areas further south along Montgomery and Phenix City Alabama asking for a friend? Basically what would need to happen for south Alabama to get a snowstorm?
 
Montanasnow30 said:
How about areas further south along Montgomery and Phenix City Alabama asking for a friend? Basically what would need to happen for south Alabama to get a snowstorm?
Click to expand...

I’d say WSW upper flow with a +PNA having upper trough axis near LA, Gulf surface low that forms in W GOM off NE Mexico and moves ENE well south of the coast.
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top