Man, I’ve had that thought for the last 24 hours. I’m glad we prepped but I don’t think the public in general is very concerned.
Meanwhile, Duke just cancelled classes for the first time since Florence.
Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
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Meanwhile, Duke just cancelled classes for the first time since Florence.
Usually modeled wind gusts don’t quite match reality due to surface friction, stuff in the way (hills, trees, buildings, etc.), and such. Or at least that’s what I’ve experienced. Could be wrong.
usually those maps are overdone but I do wonder with the gradient if they are more legit than normal.
Yeah I'm at the office this morning to close out the quarter and every one here is like oh it'll just be a gust of wind or 2 and I'm like orly?
I think we will see a few max gusts in the 60-65 maybe 70 range with a lot of 50+ which would be one of our bigger tropical system wind events in a while
Yeah as we've seen time and time again, really tightening up as it approaches land (I'm sure land friction plays a role) but those warm gulf stream waters don't hurt. Looks due north too
edit: maybe on radar looks NNW now
Looking more like landfall will be just south and west of myrtle .. clear NW movement with the eye probably being pulled by that western eye wall blow up of convection
Winds are already increasing here, nothing crazy but a notable step up from early AM
Picking up speed
11:00 AM EDT Fri Sep 30
Location: 32.4°N 79.0°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 980 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph
11:00 AM EDT Fri Sep 30
Location: 32.4°N 79.0°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 980 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph
This has almost been a copy paste comment for NHC last several days..
The new forecast is adjusted a bit to the east, but should still lead to a landfall in South Carolina this afternoon.
The new forecast is adjusted a bit to the east, but should still lead to a landfall in South Carolina this afternoon.
Sheesh new advisory has Ian down 4 mb and moving much faster. Giddy up!
Is Recon now finding pressures sub 980mb?
Up to about 3 inches of rain here. Looks like we will be in a lull for a bit. Tide still running about 1 ft higher than usual on Bogue Sound. Wind still NE, maybe gusting to around 30 mph. After this break we will have to start watching for cells coming off the water for rotation.
MSLP: 1007.4
MSLP: 1007.4
the crystal coast sure did seem like ground zero for severe yesterday on the 3k
Looks like its going hard NW. Edit: on second look, it appears they missed the center with that fix. Pressure is higher and winds not as calm.
Looking at vis loop and the general motion of the storm is still NNE...
I'm prepared because I'm a member of Southernwx.com!
Surge is spiking to about 3 ft above normal at Myrtle Beach 
Live cam from the Springmaid Pier https://www.iplivecams.com/live-cam...springmaid-pier-south-carolina-united-states/
Water is up to the dunes.
Water is up to the dunes.
Is it just my eyes or is this thing about to make landfall in Georgetown within the hour
I'm wondering the same thing. Like the occlusion just grabbed the LLC and it is slingshotting it..
COD-NEXLAB : Dual-Pol Radar for CLX
Dual-Pol NEXRAD Data for provided by College of DuPage Meteorology (NEXLAB)
weather.cod.edu
Also looks like it's trying hard to close off an eye before landfall
THAT seems "calm" compared to up the coast, like Wrightsville Beach, or up here in Surf City..
Dern ocean & surf up here is totally Gnarly! 10 too 15 foot surf!
current conditions here on the sound (ICW)..
current Temp 68F
Pressure 29.68 in
Visibility variable too 4 miles
Clouds VERY Cloudy Light rain & mist.. (VERY Blustery)
Dew Point 69 F
Humidity 98 %
Rainfall 0.09 in
Dern ocean & surf up here is totally Gnarly! 10 too 15 foot surf!
current conditions here on the sound (ICW)..
current Temp 68F
Pressure 29.68 in
Visibility variable too 4 miles
Clouds VERY Cloudy Light rain & mist.. (VERY Blustery)
Dew Point 69 F
Humidity 98 %
Rainfall 0.09 in
Almost due west atm, will it wobble back north or is this going way south now. Could change those wind maps up in NC later
Yep IF the NW turn that early is real that changes things a lot for many of us. It's probably only a wobble though.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
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Pretty big "wobble" considering it's right off the coast south of Georgetown right now.
