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Tropical Hurricane Ian

SD said:
It's going to be impressive around here this afternoon and evening. I'm not sure people are prepared for what we get
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Man, I’ve had that thought for the last 24 hours. I’m glad we prepped but I don’t think the public in general is very concerned.

Meanwhile, Duke just cancelled classes for the first time since Florence.
 
BullCityWx said:
Man, I’ve had that thought for the last 24 hours. I’m glad we prepped but I don’t think the public in general is very concerned.

Meanwhile, Duke just cancelled classes for the first time since Florence.
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Yeah I'm at the office this morning to close out the quarter and every one here is like oh it'll just be a gust of wind or 2 and I'm like orly?

I think we will see a few max gusts in the 60-65 maybe 70 range with a lot of 50+ which would be one of our bigger tropical system wind events in a while
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
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Yeah as we've seen time and time again, really tightening up as it approaches land (I'm sure land friction plays a role) but those warm gulf stream waters don't hurt. Looks due north too

edit: maybe on radar looks NNW now
 
Is Recon now finding pressures sub 980mb?

recon_AF304-3109A-IAN_timeseries.png
 
Up to about 3 inches of rain here. Looks like we will be in a lull for a bit. Tide still running about 1 ft higher than usual on Bogue Sound. Wind still NE, maybe gusting to around 30 mph. After this break we will have to start watching for cells coming off the water for rotation.

MSLP: 1007.4
 
thunderwolf said:
Up to about 3 inches of rain here. Looks like we will be in a lull for a bit. Tide still running about 1 ft higher than usual on Bogue Sound. Wind still NE, maybe gusting to around 30 mph. After this break we will have to start watching for cells coming off the water for rotation.

MSLP: 1007.4
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the crystal coast sure did seem like ground zero for severe yesterday on the 3k
 
Probably a wobble as it gets a little better organized. I bet we see more of those wobbles NW (maybe not as dramatic) as it closes in on the coastline.
 
Sometimes the frictional effects of land have a tendancy to pull storms towards the coast. Could be seeing a bit of that here.
TW
 
SD said:
Yeah I'm at the office this morning to close out the quarter and every one here is like oh it'll just be a gust of wind or 2 and I'm like orly?

I think we will see a few max gusts in the 60-65 maybe 70 range with a lot of 50+ which would be one of our bigger tropical system wind events in a while
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HRRR only showing in the 40s.


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THAT seems "calm" compared to up the coast, like Wrightsville Beach, or up here in Surf City..
Dern ocean & surf up here is totally Gnarly! 10 too 15 foot surf!
current conditions here on the sound (ICW)..
current Temp 68F
Pressure 29.68 in
Visibility variable too 4 miles
Clouds VERY Cloudy Light rain & mist.. (VERY Blustery)
Dew Point 69 F
Humidity 98 %
Rainfall 0.09 in
GFS.jpgGFS.jpg
 
metwannabe said:
Almost due west atm, will it wobble back north or is this going way south now. Could change those wind maps up in NC later
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Would that mean more wind or less wind for nc


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JHS said:
Yep IF the NW turn that early is real that changes things a lot for many of us. It's probably only a wobble though.
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Pretty big "wobble" considering it's right off the coast south of Georgetown right now.
 
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