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Tropical Hurricane Ian

Time : 092020 UTC

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.2 / 981mb / 49kts

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.2 (-.1) 2.3 (+.3) 2.3 (+.3)
 
usatlant.fc.gif

29 C = 84.2 F
27 C = 80.6 F


fl_sea_sfc_temps.jpg




ohc_naQG3_ddc.gif
 
Going to be interesting to see recon they should be there is a hr or so.....decent little attempt at firing storms on the center ongoing...so maybe trying to hold on to being a true tropical system....though you got to start wondering about things like "sting" jets and other things that tend to happen to these systems as they go extra tropical....typically that happens north of us here in NC.
 
Downeastnc said:
Maybe someone hit a power pole with their car? Cause if 25 mph winds knock out power there yall in for a long day....
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No it flickered several times last night. Our power goes out ALL the time. Whatever configuration they have in our are is absolutely horrible. Highest gust from my Tempest was 14.
 
Rain Cold said:
No it flickered several times last night. Our power goes out ALL the time. Whatever configuration they have in our are is absolutely horrible. Highest gust from my Tempest was 14.
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Yeah for me its the opposite, it takes hrs of winds in the 50-60 range to lose power here, lots of buried lines in these here parts....learned our lesson back in the 90's with Bertha, Fran, Floyd etc etc....
 
Time : 095020 UTC

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.2 / 981mb / 49kts

 Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.3 (+.1) 2.8 (+.5) 3.4 (+1.1)

30 min ago
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.2 (-.1) 2.3 (+.3) 2.3 (+.3)
 
Downeastnc said:
Yeah for me its the opposite, it takes hrs of winds in the 50-60 range to lose power here, lots of buried lines in these here parts....learned our lesson back in the 90's with Bertha, Fran, Floyd etc etc....
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All concrete and steel poles going down hwy 24 in Carteret County and hwy 58 on the beach side.


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BHS1975 said:
All concrete and steel poles going down hwy 24 in Carteret County and hwy 58 on the beach side.


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Click to expand...

Same around here on the main runs, power will go out then come back on numerous times but it usually takes several hrs of strong TS conditions to lose power, we never lost power in Matthew even though we gusted into the 50's for several hrs....Irene took us out for a day or so....I have not lost power due to a storm for more than a hr or two since Matthew.
 
I can’t remember a time when there was a hurricane off the SC coast and temps were around 60, I got down to 59.4 overnight.

IMO Ian shed most of his tropical characteristics right after emerging off the Cape yesterday, basing on radar and satellite, the interaction with the front was pretty clear about the time he came off the FL coast.
 
WeatherNC said:
I can’t remember a time when there was a hurricane off the SC coast and temps were around 60, I got down to 59.4 overnight.

IMO Ian shed most of his tropical characteristics right after emerging off the Cape yesterday, basing on radar and satellite, the interaction with the front was pretty clear about the time he came off the FL coast.
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Yep. Rain is my focus (need it bad), but it will be interesting to see how the temps respond as the storm pushes on shore today. Most models have different solutions on how (and how long) the tropical air pushes into central NC.
 
6z GFS dews.

18z today:
1664535714716.png

21z today:
1664535805528.png

Then by 18z tomorrow:
1664535892950.png

Other models have different outcomes that keep central NC eastward in higher dew points for a longer time. Again, something to watch.
 
How are our winds looking throughout the day?
 
Rain Cold said:
How are our winds looking throughout the day?
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I hate that my best location for my tempest is still somewhat blocked from N and NE winds. I'm tempted to relocate today temporarily so I can get a better reading ?
 
current conditions here on the sound.. (Topsail/Sloop Point)

66F
Pressure 29.8 in
Visibility 0~5 miles
Clouds Cloudy
Dew Point 64 F
Humidity 97 %
Rainfall (so far) 0.15 in

Wind(s) are Quite "blustery"
 
metwannabe said:
And btw that was a significant jump eastward on the GFS with the track, last 3 runs
View attachment 122632
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Been playing catch up the entire time. Didn't they just do a big upgrade and add a super computer or something? They need to do a case study how bad the models have done with Ian
 
Avalanche said:
When this gets closer and if it goes just west, will we get any of that soupy airmass with higher dp?
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I'm no met, but (some) models have shown it getting cut off over NC. This allows the lower (50s) dew points to rotate completely around the storm.
1664540036358.png
 
FallsLake said:
I'm no met, but (some) models have shown it getting cut off over NC. This allows the lower (50s) dew points to rotate completely around the storm.
View attachment 122634
Click to expand...
It'll be transitioning quickly to ET, arguably already occurring, and with that cooler/drier air intrusion you'll get an occluded front pushing those DPs back east. If this was your typical TC in that position there would be a serious severe threat for CNC and ENC
of course I'm no met either, just a wannabe :p
 
metwannabe said:
It'll be transitioning quickly to ET, arguably already occurring, and with that cooler/drier air intrusion you'll get an occluded front pushing those DPs back east. If this was your typical TC in that position there would be a serious severe threat for CNC and ENC
of course I'm no met either, just a wannabe :p
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Yeah, it's basically a noreaster now....there could be a good "thump" of winds/rain/surge along the coast but probably not more than what they have seen in the past. A good soaking rain inland NC/SC. Hopefully, the winds won't be enough to cause any major disruptions.
 
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