The weather nerd in me says if the gfs has been this horrible at showing fake fantasy storms it could be just as bad as picking up initialization and we get a short term surprise that it has missed.
Oh for sure. I mean look at the Gulf thing it wasn't hyped up on the models and very nearly became a thing(wouldn't surprise me in postseason if they declare it)
And tbh things closer to home are much more likely to become a problem anyway. It's a lot harder to get an African wave all the way across to the position(yeah they happen but there's a lot more that don't bother anyone)