Cary_Snow95
Member
We dont have winter here, i was hoping for a hurricane season. Any hope left?
Many seasons we don't even see a named storm till August. I would maybe lean away from a hyperactive season at this point but lots can still happen.Long way to go still like I've said. Many seasons have flipped in mid late August
It may not happen but on July 31st impossible to say for sure
Yeah last few years have kind of spoiled us, we've forgotten it really doesn't get going till mid August at leastMany seasons we don't even see a named storm till August. I would maybe lean away from a hyperactive season at this point but lots can still happen.
It's easy to bust on the high end when it comes especially to hurricanes. Too much dust, dry air, shear, can all ruin a forecast for a hyperactive season. I use to never expect anything until August and had a sigh of relief after Sept 25th or so in the past because most of our canes hit in that 3 week peak season. Now I don't relax until mid October as we've seen some strong storms later in the season.Yeah last few years have kind of spoiled us, we've forgotten it really doesn't get going till mid August at least
Maybe LA will finally get a break.Yeah last few years have kind of spoiled us, we've forgotten it really doesn't get going till mid August at least
Oops for the 50th time this yearOops 6z gfs has a storm in the gulf
Your absolutely rightOops for the 50th time this year
Yeah last few years have kind of spoiled us, we've forgotten it really doesn't get going till mid August at least
Don't forget Joaquin for October monsters.Yeah let's not forget Sandy Michael Matthew... All in October... There's definitely been some backloaded seasons lately
I remember a couple weeks before Katrina people wondering if the Gulf would ever have a hurricane again...(yeah even 2005 had a lull in late July and early mid August)
Long way to go. It may not get going but things can flip very fast especially latter half of August
If we get anything here soon probably be a home grown.
Really gonna depend on who is correct in regards to the wave train. GFS has constant wave breaking that pushes dry air into the MDR. Euro breaks down this feature fasterView attachment 120353
Gonna be active soon