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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread

BHS1975 said:
Anyone got the ukmet?
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dX1Xx72.jpg

Seeing a lot of model support now. Euro is running to see if it shows a legit threat again

I expect to see an invest before long

An elongated area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave
over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is producing some
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be generally favorable for some gradual development of
this system over the next several days, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week as it moves west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
 
All of the forecast models except for the GFS and the Japanese model show a tropical system of varying intensity levels in the Atlantic on Labor Day or shortly after. The GFS has a system in the southern Gulf and the Japanese model shows a run of the mill low pressure in the Atlantic. It looks like there will be more people paying attention to the tropical weather forecasts during the upcoming week.
 
Tornadocane said:
The WCAR energy that the GFS has been developing on the last 18 runs is now heading offshore from South America.
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I'm really starting to wonder if that storm might be legit in one form. The Euro has apparently trended stronger with the vort. We'll know soon
 
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This will be an incredible storm to watch.

The 12z run of the GFS gets Hinnamnor's surface pressure down to 926mb and the EURO at 944mb.


hinnamnor.png
 
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Probably won’t be much, but I’ve been paying attention to the Icon and Nam in the eastern gulf with a low forming from a cold front. Gefs members shows some chanace at something trying to form before landfall on the northern gulf coast
 
Things I miss about Hurricane Season.

1. Filling up an excess amount of gas cans for no real reason.
2. People referring to water as "Jet Fuel"
3. Watching people evacuate areas that don't get the storm
4. The invisible "Trend"
5. Meltdowns when the storm turns
6. Reading Flight Level winds as surface winds
7. Inability to understand Knots, and so much more.
 
Thor said:
Things I miss about Hurricane Season.

1. Filling up an excess amount of gas cans for no real reason.
2. People referring to water as "Jet Fuel"
3. Watching people evacuate areas that don't get the storm
4. The invisible "Trend"
5. Meltdowns when the storm turns
6. Reading Flight Level winds as surface winds
7. Inability to understand Knots, and so much more.
Click to expand...
You forgot:

8. There is no way that hurricane plows right into that surface high. That model is wrong.
 
Thor said:
Things I miss about Hurricane Season.

1. Filling up an excess amount of gas cans for no real reason.
2. People referring to water as "Jet Fuel"
3. Watching people evacuate areas that don't get the storm
4. The invisible "Trend"
5. Meltdowns when the storm turns
6. Reading Flight Level winds as surface winds
7. Inability to understand Knots, and so much more.
Click to expand...
11. Hot tower firing, about to RI!
 
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