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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread

The wave coming off Africa in about 2 days has a better chance than anything we've seen. First wave this week brought in a little better moisture and the next dry/Sal push will be behind it. As a whole though the environment still isn't great and there's a good chance it'll be ots
 
SD said:
The wave coming off Africa in about 2 days has a better chance than anything we've seen. First wave this week brought in a little better moisture and the next dry/Sal push will be behind it. As a whole though the environment still isn't great and there's a good chance it'll be ots
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Yeah like you said it’s the best chance a wave has had so far.. which isn’t saying all too much. Dry air still going to be a major hindrance and there seems to be plenty of ways for this to come north and OTS. Constant lower heights on the east coast should protect us for the next few weeks
 
39A79192-0E58-429E-9917-50347C4E9748.png
Even tho there’s dry air around the 18z much better this run
 
And we have a mention from the NHC

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
later this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for some gradual development of this system while it
moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic
during the early to middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
 
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