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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread

Fish Storm taking shape, getting consolidated quickly today.

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BHS1975 said:
Looks like something may try to pop up along the stalled front on Friday.
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Been wondering about this typically these stalled fronts just off shore make an attempt to spin up this time of year. Think that the upper low across Ga will interfere enough and keep things moving enough so that we don't get it done but if we can get any mcvs along the front far enough east they might make run over the next 72 hours.

The area on the edge of the Charleston and Jacksonville radars is interesting but it just barfed out an ofb so it may decay pretty quickly here soon..
 
Watch the eastern Atlantic in the 6-8 day range. Both the EURO and CMC show a storm developing out that way.
 
Can't believe it's August 31st and we're still looking for Danielle

Yeah it's probably coming later tonight or tomorrow but yikes. Also 11pm is technically September because they use zulu time lol
 
Supposedly, this will be the first August on record without a named storm, unless it happens before EOD today.
 
Brent said:
Can't believe it's August 31st and we're still looking for Danielle

Yeah it's probably coming later tonight or tomorrow but yikes. Also 11pm is technically September because they use zulu time lol
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They will name it just to stop the shutout. Also the long range looks like crap and lots of OTS tracks. Maybe October will produce.
 
BHS1975 said:
I think our only chance is some homegrown action.
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Certainly for US impacts probably. Troughs are only gonna get deeper as we get into September unless you have some weird phasing like Sandy

Looks like we made it... 11pm and no Danielle and honestly satellite doesn't look like it deserves it
 
I know we’ve still got a ways to go in the season including the peak time coming up in a couple weeks, but I really am getting more convinced as I was a couple weeks ago that this just isn’t going to be a year with any true east coast landfall threats. These consistent troughs diving in as they’ve been all summer along with the fact that they’ll only get deeper as we go forward from here tells me that even if things get active out in the Atlantic it will be fish storms like we’re seeing with Danielle. I still think the area to watch as we go forward is gonna be the western Caribbean and the Gulf, and with these troughs the impact will be favored for the eastern Gulf coast.
 
Shaggy said:
Hey man its only a 3000 mile shift in one run!!
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It's an interesting idea. The 0z euro sheared it to death but had the same general idea. If we keep a defined weak system there's not much to pull it north so it'll just limp west towards the Bahamas in time which may be troublesome if we have a closed low across the Ohio Valley
 
SD said:
It's an interesting idea. The 0z euro sheared it to death but had the same general idea. If we keep a defined weak system there's not much to pull it north so it'll just limp west towards the Bahamas in time which may be troublesome if we have a closed low across the Ohio Valley
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Would match early runs that had the further west tracks.
 
Lots of model support for areas to watch in the eastern Atlantic. May see some of the tropical entities get further west than Earl the week of the 19th.
 
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