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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread

As we get ready for hurricane season to ramp up over the next 4 weeks, be interesting to see if the nao keeps dipping negative and how it affects the Azores HP. No doubt there will be storms a plenty, but to me its all about steering. We are coming up on the halfway point of Met Summer and weve been having these roller coaster dips into neg nao territory, which seems it would steer storms off the east coast.
 
Looks like we might start seeing some hints of activity around 8/1. I wouldn't be entirely shocked to see some type of hybrid system rotate around the southern edge of the Bermuda ridge in the coming 10 days
Looks to be heading to the Gulf, Alabama to be more specific
 
Current sst CV area
 

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