It wasn’t supposed to develop this early anyway. In any case since the wave is lifting northward across the Greater Antilles this week, that means the low level trade wind flow is weaker and so is the trade wind divergence.
If it does develop, is there really any concern of land impacts. Pattern seems to suggest a pretty easy recurve
It’ll probably recurve given the current pattern but we should still monitor it anyway just in case a different part of the wave axis (say the southern portion) develops over the eastern gulf or Cuba instead of the Bahamas for ex.
Looks like this may be one to keep an eye on. Last few runs of the EURO have had this system developing toward the end of the run which should be taken with a grain of salt until we get closer since we all know how fast things can change but it is intriguing nonetheless. EURO looks to be curving it OTS at the end at least though.
Probably be some shark bite deaths, but none from rip currents, with that track
Completely agree and IF this develops will need to be watched closely... how many times over the last several years have we seen re-curves in the long range con't to shift west, west, west, heck some even ended up in the GOM. It's as real as the winter NW trend
Long ways to go though, let's see if it even develops first.... Euro has some changes at D10 including a cutoff in the SE, those details will no doubt change and will effect the track if there is anything to track
