iGRXY
Member
The 200 hr GFS OP not moving me lol
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Pattern Mega March 2023
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
rburrel2
Member
ATLwxfan
Member
She’s a beaut and a resilient one at that! The swings are wild.
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olhausen
Member
74 mph wind gusts in White House today. Went on for hours and was definitely the most insane wind I’ve seen due to how long it went on. My fence plus neighbors fences didn’t stand a chance. Nor did the trees.
Looks to me like it’s slowly trending to the EPS, and it probably will, this pattern coming up favors amplification, and the euro/EPS have been steady with a more amped/slower solution, these colder air-masses are harder to move and typically drag
Usmeagle2005
Member
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
It’s pretty clear as day that the SE ridge will win out in this next threat. The NE weenies are not sold yet.
Tarheelwx
Member
I think it’s a hiccup this time.
TW
TW
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Fire that severe thread up ?
Hpdb301
Member
Some minor, yet unsurprising changes in 24 hours. ?
last night 00z
current
last night 00z
current
Just here to break the ice this morning. Literally..tennessee storm
Member
Looks juicy
iGRXY
Member
We end up right back here 2 days later. Cold is coming. Snow? Didn’t expect it in the first place. Winter lovers just need to be happy with below to well below average temps for the month before we get into spring.
iGRXY
Member
Just enjoy it while it happens. We will be in the 80’s with DPs in the upper 60’s soon enough
ATLwxfan
Member
Doesn’t make sense with MJO and neutral PNA -NAO. It’s just a delay I would imagine. Or it illustrates that the whole thing is broken.
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Delay, really no stopping it from moving east when all set and done, but the more we slow it, the more likely we shorten the cold pattern
The more likely it is to shorten things, but I will say that with a MJO high amp phase 8 moving into phase one and a strongly -AO/-NAO combination, I think it’s likely that we’ll see at least below average temperatures set up for a couple weeks with some quite significant cold shots in there. I kinda thought yesterday morning that the GFS suite was rushing things a bit. The EPS/Euro has really stayed very consistent on the timing
Thor
Member
Nice day on the coast, surfside beach pier finally going to be complete in May. Been down since hurricane Matthew. Rebuilding in concrete this time.
It was crazy windy here last night, too. All kinds of stuff was blowing around (umbrellas and other debris).
I’m at Oak Island myself this weekend and it’s absolutely gorgeous this morning. 66 degrees, a nice breeze and not a cloud in the sky.
severestorm
Member
Tuscon AZ
Matthew East posted this on the Facebook.
**Looking ahead** I think winter returns later this month, and the period from roughly March 10-20 could be quite chilly with an active storm track.
**Looking ahead** I think winter returns later this month, and the period from roughly March 10-20 could be quite chilly with an active storm track.
ATLwxfan
Member
The Canadian is a total joke. Absurd run to run fluctuations.
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Shaggy
Member
the 06z gfs had us at 34 with wintry precip at 06z around hour 360......fantasy land yes i know. The 12z gfs has us at 66 at the same timeframe. Thats only a 30 degree temp difference run to run?
Joe Bastardi
@BigJoeBastardi
·
29m
Old school PSU rule of 3 weeks of widespread cold once block reaches Greenland. Last test case we showed you was Dec 10-30. Think this one will beat it as far as deviations from the average. March 4-24
Guess We'll see soon enough!
tractor girl
Member
could we keep political twitter posts out of the March discussion thread please
packfan98
Moderator
Please use the report button for those types of posts.
Did I miss something?
I guess we both did
olhausen
Member
white house got hit pretty hard. Trees down everywhere and power went out for hours until last night around 8pm. I was attempting to put the fence back up because of my dogs but it was hopeless and I’m lucky I didn’t get hurt. I started hearing snapping from the trees behind me and decided to just go inside.
olhausen
Member
00z euro control from yesterday was off its rocker.
Avalanche
Member
That looks good. I know Topsail didn’t seem to recover the way their beach use to look, but it’s still there and homes are all over the place. Cherry Grove and North Myrtle are my typical beach destinations.
Mods please move to banter, sorry
ATLwxfan
Member
On the positive side of things, this delay in the pattern potentially helps in terms of agricultural risks. The coldest the GEFS gets us is 32°. A bullet dodged.
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rburrel2
Member
It actually makes it worse bc it just gives more time for stuff to bud out before the hammer drops.
ATLwxfan
Member
No but the later we get into the month the more the cold will modify. Don’t get me wrong, we are headed below normal but I don’t think anything out of the ordinary. A frost here and there like a typical spring.
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Rosie
Member
My redbud and flowering cherry are both blooming, forsythia is finishe’d.
ATLwxfan
Member
EPS following suit. Keeps our lows around ATL just at or above freezing. Seems like things moderating a bit.
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