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Severe December 28th -new years possible severe weather event.

Winter time sun just doesn't have the heating like spring. Still barely hitting 60 degrees here

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Low level lapse rates aren’t that impressive, with at the most some 6-6.5C near that sfc boundary.
, I’m not saying this threat isn’t gonna happen but this setup isn’t really scaring me much, still definitely a threat tho, that cell that entered MS definitely is the most interesting one imo
 
WOW found that warm front!! Wrapped from Co Rd 55 and hwy 157 through and between Hartselle and Falkville 8 degree temperature spread within 2 miles.. crazy 68 on Townsend Rd. And 60 at tabernacle Rd and E Byrd Rd.

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This area at the border is really spinning. Wonder if shear is starting to increase finally. If so it should spread to the southeast as we move through sunset.Screenshot_20211229-163149.png
 
Yep. The better shear is moving southeast. A few hours and these cells should start spinning like tops. Goes along with how the HRRR showed Screenshot_20211229-163803.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Low level lapse rates aren’t that impressive, with at the most some 6-6.5C near that sfc boundary.
, I’m not saying this threat isn’t gonna happen but this setup isn’t really scaring me much, still definitely a threat tho, that cell that entered MS definitely is the most interesting one imo
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That has been the one of the two sticking points on the size of the event, the warm layer aloft and the relative lack of forcing . You can clearly see the cap here.
 
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