Lets get that but with CMC temps
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Naughty November
- Thread starter LickWx
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah we are golden if we let that day 9-10 trough hang on a little longer over SE Canada & this wave comes out into that massive cold air mass.
2018...had an EF2 tornado hit my neighborhood and major winter storm within like 3ish weeks of each other. Similar pattern.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
EPS mean highs to kickoff meteorological (Dec-Feb) winter.
The coldest members have below freezing highs in Atlanta while the warmest members are basically average
The coldest members have below freezing highs in Atlanta while the warmest members are basically average
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Wow the day 11 EPS mean has mid 20s for lows in Atlanta & Greenville-Spartanburg. That's nuts
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Got a few wintry members on the LR EPS, mainly for TN & AR
This severe weather threat is slowly becoming more and more concerning since most models actually show it 
Soundings reveal this is pretty much your classic fall high shear low cape setup with low topped convection 
Uhhh 12z gfsv2 actually have us a mid Atlantic snow storm
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
We have a winner!?
Yeah that’s not to encouraging
accu35
Member
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Stating to see some support
For the mountains I guess
Dewpoint Dan
Member
For Pittsburgh and Cleveland yes.
I’m surprised this is not being talked about more but the euro/cmc/gfs basically all have severe looks right now, with the gfs likely being the fastest due to its progressive bias, these looks support a nasty low topped QLCS with huge amounts of low level shear, this is getting into D7 and this also has a strong STJ injected in this to boot, don’t sleep on this
The Icon looks really interesting, the trough gets in front of the s/w in the SW.
KMA did the same at 12z
Well icon is actually better than the KMA but 
On the ICON It looks almost as if the two lobes at the base of the trough split, allowing the main one to stay behind and mature.
Wow, icon would actually be suppressed I think per this look, that’s a big difference 
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
No that's good, we need to be suppressed so it doesn't cut and go into the midwest. Occasionally we get an issue where the high pressure is too strong and it gets suppressed to Cuba, but that won't be an issue this time around.
smast16
Member
Rght where you want it 7 days out...
Would be nice to see other globals hop on the icon train, However ever I doubt it, but hey it’s nice to see a flip like that is still a possibility
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
It's wishy-washy. I wouldn't ever put my stock in it over say the Euro, but it has its moments.
It’s not good, but it’s not bad, sorta mid range, can do bad but has it moments, like for example it showed hurricane zeta being a issue in the SE first
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Something positive to look at considering it's on 180 hours out! Like @Myfrotho704_ said it would be nice to see the euro and gfs get on board
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Even if its wrong, it’s nice to track possibilities this early
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
If I remember correctly I think it did pretty well with the storm in December 2018. And the "storm" clt received last year
Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
Although, I do remember several times when the ICON showed false hopes. This never happened last year:
Also, I remember it having Isaias at 960mb for a while.
Also, I remember it having Isaias at 960mb for a while.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Yeah that did not happen at all but we did get snow around that time frame.
Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
Yeah, about a week or two later, that was a totally different setup vs. This model run.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Oh that said Feb 14 I thought it said 24th. Yeah that was way off. I'd definitely like other models trend that way
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interesting 