Yes CAD pleaseI liketh View attachment 52169
Really surprised no lake effect yet. Usually by now we've seen cold air crossing the lakes and creating it.
Very conflicting pattern to say the least. Sure, it looks warm verbatim but the giant ridge in the Pacific & Canadian Arctic could deliver a gigantic shot of cold air in time for the Thanksgiving Holiday.
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Well I just got home and my rain gauge is at 7.25 inches. That is at total since overnight on Monday. It was 1.9 when I left for work this morning before the fire hose got here, so I had 5.35 inches in just over 3 hours. Definitely the heaviest rainfall I’ve seen since Florence.
I can’t imagine the rain totals would have been anywhere close if Eta hadn’t been there. While none of the rainfall was directly from Eta’s circulation, it obviously helped push a very tropical airmass in place with PWAT’s at absolutely unheard levels for November.Just for the record because I like to keep track of things like this, how much of this incredible flooding event can be attributed to TS Eta? Another way to ask: if Eta had not been there and we just had the cold front coming into the same warm and high dewpoint airmass, would it have been nearly as wet?
Going to end up with just under 7” event total, really over a 24hr period. 6.86” and about finished. Pretty wet out there.
It also has this...Fantasy land GFS looking mighty stormy for parts of the southeast towards the end of November.View attachment 52211View attachment 52212
I’ll take the under on dumpster fireThis pattern is teetering on the edge between a pure dumpster fire and a blockbuster. The west-based -NAO and Alaska/NW territory ridges are bridging over the top, but the trough off the west coast is trying to pump the heights over the east-central US. Warmth is more likely going to win out but we could hit it big pattern-wise if a couple dominoes magically fall in our corner.
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