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Pattern Fabulous February

GaWx said:
JB is headed to what likely will be his biggest DJF bust ever for the SE US. I mean a Dolly Parton/Pamela Anderson type bust is putting it mildly.
He’s going to need like -100 degree anomalies for the last week of Feb. So, I guess there’s still a chance.
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Let me tell you what he will say (and I like JB) . The SE was a bust in my forecast temperature wise but all the indices and pattern went the way I thought it would, so I will have to dig and find out why I had the overall set up for the winter was correct but it just didn't perform. Now as for you NE and MA those huge snows in Feb and March made the forecast for snow totals right in my winter forecast and the snow geese should be happy, it was delayed but not denied" blah blah blah for another 5 minutes about the NE
 
Let’s just say this, November pattern and dec big dog fooled us into a thinking it was gonna be a big winter, Nothing this past Jan/and still feb and I’m 2inch above average when it comes to snow
 
The CFSv2 is schooling other seasonal models and no one is batting an eye. I think it will nail Feb as well.
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GaWx said:
Not only that but the GEFS’ clown maps have proven to be day in and day out way overdone for the SE in recent weeks. With a -PNA, +AO, and +NAO, the odds highly favor very little to no snow for the bulk of the SE. Obviously, the far N and especially far NW parts of the SE would have the best shot for something significant. But a place like ATL would need a whole lot of luck/needle threading. I’d take the under for ATL and most everywhere vs what this GEFS clown mean shows for the next 16 days.
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Larry, your just full of great winter news this morning! We all see what your saying though!
 
Jon said:
The CFSv2 is schooling other seasonal models and no one is batting an eye. I think it will nail Feb as well.
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And they show............
For February???
 
I gotta say, I’m not interested much in this since it’s a week out but honestly you can thread the needle with this look
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Snowing above everyones head in western NC right now. Just cant reach surface,not heavy enough to overcome dry air
 
Nice of Tropical Tidbits to not be working properly lately. Awesome. No model data this afternoon, apparently.
 
Wow just saw the stat on WRAL that 2018 and 2017 were both in the top 3 warmest February’s on record at RDU, and 2019 through 10 days so far is warmer than both of them. Spring starts quite early now around here.
 
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