Still historically low. There is a study/theory that says more open (less ice) Arctic water promotes more blocking. But if that was true where was all our blocking these past 20 years.
Still historically low. There is a study/theory that says more open (less ice) Arctic water promotes more blocking. But if that was true where was all our blocking these past 20 years.
This is where they come up with another 3 letter acronym to explain why their previous 3 letter acronym didn't pan out. IOD, PNA, PDO, MJO, SSW Etc etc.Still historically low. There is a study/theory that says more open (less ice) Arctic water promotes more blocking. But if that was true where was all our blocking these past 20 years.
It's almost a million square km above the 2011-2020 average.Still historically low. There is a study/theory that says more open (less ice) Arctic water promotes more blocking. But if that was true where was all our blocking these past 20 years.
Man I'm not sure I buy a full torch winter but it's not off the table unfortunately
You would have to bet for a warmer winter with the la nina still ongoing. I guess the one good aspect is we should see a better chance of very cold outbreaks (within the overall warm winter) that could also come with snow (..we can hope).Man I'm not sure I buy a full torch winter but it's not off the table unfortunately
I see no reason for anything but a 3peat here. Overall above average with a 2-3 very below average outbreak somewhere in January or early early February.Man I'm not sure I buy a full torch winter but it's not off the table unfortunately
You would think with 3 Niñas in a row that one should behave like a traditional one with lot of cold and storm chances the first half and then a warmup and early spring arriving in FebruaryBen Knoll from twitter mentioned the euro and ukmet guidance going negative nao for at least first half of winter this upcoming winter. It would be nice to see that. Like I always say if we can get one winter storm, im content until the following winter. I feel that early if we are to see that scenario
His model blend also shows well below normal snowfall for the winter.Ben Knoll from twitter mentioned the euro and ukmet guidance going negative nao for at least first half of winter this upcoming winter. It would be nice to see that. Like I always say if we can get one winter storm, im content until the following winter. I feel that early if we are to see that scenario
His model blend also shows well below normal snowfall for the winter.
His model blend also shows well below normal snowfall for the winter.
It’s just that these last two years have not acted like classic Niñas.That's a pretty classic LA Nina precip map.
Yea winter hasn’t torched like a true nina really ! No 2012 yet .It’s just that these last two years have not acted like classic Niñas.
I would say last December was a torch. 3rd warmest on record for KCLT and the last week saw lows everyday 5-10 warmer than average highs. A true Niña though would have seen warmth like that in February and that cold period the last 3 weeks of January and first half of February would have been before.Yea winter hasn’t torched like a true nina really ! No 2012 yet .