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Pattern Winter outlook 2022/2023

Rain Cold

Shields Up
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Same as every other year. Cold Midwest down into TX up through western TN and the Great Lakes. Warm in the SE and along the east coast up into the NE. Who cares about the west.

I'm thinking above average snowfall for a good chunk of SC and NC, due to a couple of La Nina coastals....probably N GA too. Trickier back in AL and MS, where it will probably be drier than normal. I will go near normal snowfall there.

Cold most likely in early December and late Jan/early Feb. Maybe a cold shot early March, but spring comes in quickly. NAO predominantly positive and the PNA averages near neutral for the winter. Meh.
 
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Tarheel1

I LOVE BBW’s AND CHICKEN WINGS
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Same as every other year. Cold Midwest down into TX up through western TN and the Great Lakes. Warm in the SE and along the east coast up into the NE. Who cares about the west.

I'm thinking above average snowfall for a good chunk of SC and NC, due to a couple of La Nina coastals....probably N GA too. Trickier back in AL and MS, where it will probably be drier than normal. I will go near normal snowfall there.

Cold most likely in early December and late Jan/early Feb. Maybe a cold shot early March, but spring comes in quickly. NAO predominantly positive and the PNA averages near neutral for the winter. Meh.
I’m hoping for a lot of Lakes cutters and or Clippers! ⛄️
 

Tarheel1

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We still on track for a 3rd year Niña? I read an outlook that said a Nino would be showing yp in the fall? Which if that was correct, the affects wouldn’t be noticeable until spring. Thoughts??
 

J.C.

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My best guess is one of the three months will be close to normal, being slightly above because of warmer then average lows. The other two months will be our typical 1-3 degrees above average. Maybe we will actually get below 15 degrees this winter.
 
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