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Wintry Winter 2021-2022 predictions

RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Wow one northern winter broke you real quick! But trust me I get it. I've experienced northern plains and Rocky mtn cold myself. I can handle a NYC winter. And even Chicago because I like snow. But that out your way is just brutal and disrespectful. And the wind there makes it even worse.
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If it wasn’t for me taking this high paying job up here I would of stayed in Alabama…and I can admit a snow weenie like me who barely seen as much snow I’ve have seen my entire life after just one year up here has been awesome but them freaking cold ? temps and wind ? is just to much to bare
 
Montanasnow30 said:
I’m just not ready to see the blue colors right now give me about another 4 months or so
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We have done alot of sleepless nights in winter hoping like hell the models will trend in our favor for a winter storm. February was good to my area, but it was a rarity with the three winter storms in one week ????
 
Mr. Golf said:
We have done alot of sleepless nights in winter hoping like hell the models will trend in our favor for a winter storm. February was good to my area, but it was a rarity with the three winter storms in one week ????
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We don't ever see it snow at 12 degrees very often with winds blowing 15-20??
 
Mr. Golf said:
We have done alot of sleepless nights in winter hoping like hell the models will trend in our favor for a winter storm. February was good to my area, but it was a rarity with the three winter storms in one week ????
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I've seen times the models actually did trend in our favor, only to bust at verification time.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Might be the best ECMWF seasonal look I’ve seen in some time, fits the frontloaded theme as it switched to a mega SER in February View attachment 90250
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This is honestly what I’ve been thinking. It’s not too far off from what we had in Dec/Jan last year, but the big difference is that I do think there will be some cold air in the North American source regions to work with. Now I’m in now way saying that I think we see wall to wall cold for 2 months… I’m thinking more in the way up and down swings to where we come out close to average where as last year we just saw temperatures around average most days. I do think February is probably gonna torch as SER ridge really pumps up based on Niña climo… the only thing that could effect that is if the -NAO holds like we saw last year and CAD regions end up getting wedged.
 
Chazwin said:
This is honestly what I’ve been thinking. It’s not too far off from what we had in Dec/Jan last year, but the big difference is that I do think there will be some cold air in the North American source regions to work with. Now I’m in now way saying that I think we see wall to wall cold for 2 months… I’m thinking more in the way up and down swings to where we come out close to average where as last year we just saw temperatures around average most days. I do think February is probably gonna torch as SER ridge really pumps up based on Niña climo… the only thing that could effect that is if the -NAO holds like we saw last year and CAD regions end up getting wedged.
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I think February is overall warm too, but not an exclusively non-winter month. I think it will still contain a cold shot with perhaps a chance to thread the needle.
 
-ENSO Decembers occasionally give a chance or two. We'll see if this winter has anything
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Might be the best ECMWF seasonal look I’ve seen in some time, fits the frontloaded theme as it switched to a mega SER in February View attachment 90250
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I’ll take front loaded!!!!! Less waiting ? but also we can always try to finagle a -NAO late game to shut that SER up .. maybe a little early January SSWE ???? ?
 
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