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Tropical TS Fred

SD said:
Yeah that seems to be the case. Supposedly the experimental mrms data cut that bias a good bit. I'm not sure how the map I posted compares to observational data or if the mrms I have access to is the latest and greatest
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Could it be due to higher PW values in tropical systems that isn't took into effect?

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SD said:
looks like MRMS was a little short
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my back yard is in that blue area and I have definitely had at least 6" (it filled so cant really say how much more until I can empty it). its wild here today. reports of some type of damage and flooding in Cornelia but no other details yet. don't know if it was from winds or a tornado, but banks county, just south, has reports of tornado damage
 
Zander98al said:
Could it be due to higher PW values in tropical systems that isn't took into effect?

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Click to expand...
That's certainly part of it. I think droplet size is one of the biggest culprits. I believe that since the droplets are smaller the reflectivity isn't as strong and tricks the radar into under estimating the total qpe. Don't quote me on that though
 
Been tracking since Charlotte area finally tornado warning for Wilkes enroute brb.
 
Trees and powerlines down damage to one home per radio in Iredell. I doubt it survives the brushy Mtns
 
Sheriff has eye on tornado left Iredell into Alexander let’s see what the mtns do to it
 
Listening to the scanner feed in Iredell County and the fire dept is saying they have another tornado on the ground.
 
Now they have a traffic accident call with reports of a tornado in the area.
 
Sounds like the most action y'all have had close to y'all since I've been on the chat board. Radar is so far away from storm it's hard to tell anything for me.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
113 PM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

NCZ040>042-075>077-086-088-089-171815-
Lee NC-Johnston NC-Chatham NC-Hoke NC-Sampson NC-Harnett NC-Wake NC-
Moore NC-Cumberland NC-
113 PM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

...A line of strong thunderstorms will impact portions of east
central Moore, northwestern Sampson, Harnett, northern Cumberland,
Lee, southwestern Wake, western Johnston, northeastern Hoke and
southeastern Chatham Counties through 215 PM EDT...

At 112 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 6 miles northwest of Pope
AFB to 7 miles southeast of Dunn. Movement was north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Sanford, Smithfield, Lillington, Fort Bragg, Garner, Fuquay-Varina,
Clayton, Dunn, Angier and Benson.
 
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