• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Tropical Storm Barry

The Legacy GFS is on Tropical Tidbits, and initially I feel like it did best with the "East" shifts the majority of other modeling took. When it comes to strength, I don't give it much credit though. Will be interesting to see how well in advance it did vs our current GFS (FV3) with track.
 
Aren't weaker storms with no real circulation, (remnants?), supposed to be heavier when we talk about rainfall amounts? They just kinda meander slowly?
 
Shawn said:
Aren't weaker storms with no real circulation, (remnants?), supposed to be heavier when we talk about rainfall amounts? They just kinda meander slowly?
Click to expand...

Harvey was the opposite of messy and look at what it produced and how slow it moved.

Of course, I'm talking about keeping surge and winds down if it stays a mess.
 
0a6ccfb7ac0156e0e193666f5ba5cd8ce944269bf68f340b7f7a0b954bdc053a.png
 
Snowfan said:
The last pass showed the pressure going to 999 mb.
Click to expand...

Yeah I'm not sure if thats correct(they were really really low and ascended I think and it still looks disorganized) but if it is we may have organization

Edit from what i see that was way north like almost ashore so i dont think thats a real center
 
Last edited:
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF LOUISIANA
FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO GRAND ISLE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND
LAKE MAUREPAS INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.
 
Storm is no longer forecasted to become a hurricane according to the latest advisory.
 
Snowfan said:
Storm is no longer forecasted to become a hurricane according to the latest advisory.
Click to expand...

yet they issued hurricane warnings lol

They probably still forecast it between points

While not explicitly shown in the
forecast, there is a significant chance that Barry will be a
hurricane when it makes landfall between 36-48 h in agreement with
the HWRF and GFS models.
Click to expand...
 
Last edited:
Very disorganized and with the time and proximity to land I could see this staying below hurricane strength....at the same time it's in some.pretty warm water and a sustained convective blowup could jump it up quickly.
 
Shaggy said:
Very disorganized and with the time and proximity to land I could see this staying below hurricane strength....at the same time it's in some.pretty warm water and a sustained convective blowup could jump it up quickly.
Click to expand...
It's a race to see whether it can reach land before it becomes a hurricane. It all comes down to track and speed. If the west tracks are right, then it just might get there.
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
It's a race to see whether it can reach land before it becomes a hurricane. It all comes down to track and speed. If the west tracks are right, then it just might get there.
Click to expand...

True. Wind was never gonna be the story with this one anyways. The flooding threat is very real.
 
7:00 PM CDT Thu Jul 11

Location: 27.8°N 89.3°W
Moving: W at 3 mph
Min pressure: 1001 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph
 
My local mets at WAFB keep showing the NAM model, lol. That's literally the worst case model I've seen today!
 
Random question. Am I the only member here in the path of Barry, besides those who get some rain in MS and AL?
 
Will Rossman said:
Random question. Am I the only member here in the path of Barry, besides those who get some rain in MS and AL?
Click to expand...
Check the member map. Not everyone posts. There’s more over at Cat 6 blog in your area (weather underground).
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top