ForsythSnow
Moderator
There's those single digit to teens DPs that we were talking about in December. With that setup, definitely there would be major icing in CAD regions and here if it took that northernly path.
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Wintry The Webber/1300m/Kylo/Jon/Whatalife Storm January 12th-14th
- Thread starter whatalife
- Start date
Jessy89
Member
I think it’s trending towards a ice storm vs snow storm
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Something else to keep an eye on but the 00z NAM has that southern wave significantly further south than the FV3-GFS. The NAM is often subject to some pretty big shifts outside of 60 hours so nothing to hang our hats on yet, but yet another thing to keep an eye on.
Edit: The 18z GFS actually is much more similar to the NAM, so it'll be interesting to see if the further south track continues to hold.
Edit: The 18z GFS actually is much more similar to the NAM, so it'll be interesting to see if the further south track continues to hold.
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There will probably be a good coverage area of frozen precip. at the onset. A lot of places will change over to a cold rain, except for parts of NC and points north/northwest/northeast.
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Confluence is South also! Just give me stronger confluence, I’ll take my chances with precip!Something else to keep an eye on but the 00z NAM has that southern wave WAY further south than the GFS. The NAM is often subject to some pretty big shifts outside of 60 hours so nothing to hang our hats on yet, but yet another thing to keep an eye on.
Edit: The 18z GFS actually is much more similar to the NAM, so it'll be interesting to see if the further south track continues to hold.
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
The 0Z ICON looks like a significant ice storm for the NW Piedmont of NC.
00z ICON much flatter than 12z. Good confluence 
Also notice how nam is dropping heights out in front over the GOM. Noise for now since it’s the NAM, but something to watchSomething else to keep an eye on but the 00z NAM has that southern wave significantly further south than the FV3-GFS. The NAM is often subject to some pretty big shifts outside of 60 hours so nothing to hang our hats on yet, but yet another thing to keep an eye on.
Edit: The 18z GFS actually is much more similar to the NAM, so it'll be interesting to see if the further south track continues to hold.
What does this mean in simple terms? Lowering heights = developing low?
That should maybe let the low slide further south and get more people in the game???? Correct ??
Btw, nice drawing...???
Won’t cause the low to be as far north
1012 mb low on Tx La border Sat, on 0z GFS! High strong, but in a bad spot. Could get messy in CAD
Ty!
Low going through ATL, much more robust, not much wintry outside the mountains! We toss
Yuck! No Bueno!
Something to watch. Not a bad thing. Might be a trend to get the low back in the gulf. We want a weaker low that doesn’t get pulled to the north.
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
FV3 has the surface LP over Arkansas at HR 114.
Yeah, this storm is looking more and more likely a Mid-Atlantic/Northeastern storm. The only place that does get winter weather further south is western NC.
