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Pattern The Great December Dump

Myfrotho704_ said:
gradients have been crazy these past few years (el ninoish gradients), literally no snow CLT-south, then it piles up and increases CLT-north, basically 85 separating things, but that’s kinda expecting with these miller B storms we’ve had these past years
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I feel like I-85 seperates everywhere in the SE(or at least the South Atlantic States). The I-85 dividing line is super evident here in the Atlanta area.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
gradients have been crazy these past few years (el ninoish gradients), literally no snow CLT-south, then it piles up and increases CLT-north (kannapolis/concord/huntersville/lake Norman) , basically 85 separating things, but that’s kinda expecting with these miller B storms we’ve had these past years
Click to expand...
Lol mby is basically right on 85, so I've seen tons of sleet from being on the line.

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Well if we’re gonna talk JMA here’s its QPF map most of the QPF in the south is from this system btw.....looks good
51BC1A84-0B96-46DA-A495-3F9417348590.jpeg
 
I do want to mention a couple more things that bear watching with this system.
Take a look at the Vorticity (Energy in the atmosphere)
The blue one labeled main is the most important and what we are following now.
However, the 2 pieces, pink and light blue colored one are other pieces of energy that will help amplify, the storm "if" they phase. The Euro phases with them too late, although yesterday's phased early, hence the crazy run.
Specifics are very uncertain, but this will be interesting to watch, with the ingredients there.
ecmwf-deterministic-conus-vort500_z500-6108800.png
For giggles I have the EPS members for GSO, I will have the specialty graphic laterecmwf-ensemble-KGSO-indiv_snow-5547200.png
Edit: The GFS is looking better than the last 2 runs. Digs more
 
I like the position of this system over southern California
672f8c15722220cb1c6cee74748bd296.jpg



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This is basically what you want, drawing ain’t perfect, but I tried, you want separation from that big vortex, enough so that it wont get caught into the vortex, but not to much to where it slows down to much in the Southwest, this map is in between that and something you would want, which is separation, but still some flow to move it 0E89365A-B232-4E3F-90DE-B9CF707F7F9E.jpeg
 
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