Severe Severe Weather 3/27-3/28 2021

[Myfrotho704_]

Holy hail

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

SHIP value of 3.... gulp

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Crazy how different the HRRR and NAM 3km are in storm coverage through today and tomorrow... I’ll lean towards the HRRR obviously since it’s updated every hour but I’ve noticed the 3km NAM likes to keep things tame for events then Ramps up last second

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What about Raleigh? I feel like models show at least fairly decent coverage of storms everywhere .. tell me we have gorilla hail

Probably, the closer you are to surface based storms and bigger cape, the threat goes up

 

[Shaggy]

Probably, the closer you are to surface based storms and bigger cape, the threat goes up

Feels cool and more stable out there to me right now. Temp actually went down a couple degrees last hour.

 

[Chazwin]

Feels cool and more stable out there to me right now. Temp actually went down a couple degrees last hour.

It’s definitely not feeling cooler or stable here. Temp is up to 73 and the dewpoint is now 63... starting to feel like a swamp outside

 

[Jessy89]

What’s the chance of tomorrow’s line of storms being a Derecho? Seems like that’s gonna be a pretty gusty line of storms.


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[Myfrotho704_]

75/62 here, SPC mesoanalysis shows up to 3000 jkgs of SBcape later near Charlotte

 

[Shaggy]

It’s definitely not feeling cooler or stable here. Temp is up to 73 and the dewpoint is now 63... starting to feel like a swamp outside

I'm 70 over 63 but I have an east wind that's seems cool. What'your wind direction there?

 

[mbway091]

Feels cool and more stable out there to me right now. Temp actually went down a couple degrees last hour.

Dews went down here. Hot but super dry

 

[Chazwin]

I'm 70 over 63 but I have an east wind that's seems cool. What'your wind direction there?

Wind out of the SW... I noticed that RDU is ESE and GSO is E

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Sun is peaking out with some blue sky ... bubble bubble bubble GORILLA HAIL BUBBLE

 

[JHS]

Slight risk now much farther east in NC. Not a lot of change in SC.

 

[jackendrickwx]

74/64 cloudy

 

[gawxnative]

75/70 here now clouds breaking, wind sw 8

 

[Drscottsmith]

In Easley playing baseball today. Low 70s a with sun peeking thru clouds

 

[SD]

71/67 here not sure the front is going to make it wind is SE

 

[JHS]

The tornado threat may be a little higher than 1st thought. A major dewpoint boundary cuts across NC at this time. Dewpoints in the mid 40's in the Triad down to Hickory and even down into the 30's around Boone. The dewpoints in much of GA and SC are in the 60's and even some locations up to 70.

 

[Shaggy]

Wind out of the SW... I noticed that RDU is ESE and GSO is E

That wind direction is probably the difference. Feels like a stable marine layer here that just doesnt have that feel to it.

 

[JHS]

71/67 here not sure the front is going to make it wind is SE

The front is still north of Raleigh I think. Much drier air from the Triad over towards Roxboro right now.