And NWS thinking.... y'all enjoy your ice.
Another definite uptick in ice totals on 3k NAM at 12Z
Another worrisome part to me is how much the HRRR is already showing for that immediate escapement. HRRR is a model that is horrible with 2m temps, usually a couple degrees too warm.
For you guys that are better with the micro-climate out there, how does Hickory usually fair in these setups? I'm asking because I've got some work related travel tomorrow morning to Hickory, thanksAnother worrisome part to me is how much the HRRR is already showing for that immediate escapement. HRRR is a model that is horrible with 2m temps, usually a couple degrees too warm.
Hickory proper does pretty well as it sits on the NW end of Catawba county. I’d say a line from upper Cleveland county towards hickory and up toward wilkesboro and NW or there will do pretty well. It’s treading a fine line of getting the precip in time before the wedge erodes which is why I think winston and Greensboro may not do as well as normal being that far north.For you guys that are better with the micro-climate out there, how does Hickory usually fair in these setups? I'm asking because I've got some work related travel tomorrow morning to Hickory, thanks
Dewpoints just don’t seem to be very low right now and that could certainly affect wet-bulbing late tonight and tomorrow morning. I just looked and dew points are in the 20s throughout NC and VA with 10s up in PA. I would think that those 10s would need to be down into VA to really see good evaporational cooling.
I know it's not going to be icy here, but we are 27 here and our low was supposed to be 33.
Actually DPs are lower than forecast so far.Dewpoints just don’t seem to be very low right now and that could certainly affect wet-bulbing late tonight and tomorrow morning. I just looked and dew points are in the 20s throughout NC and VA with 10s up in PA. I would think that those 10s would need to be down into VA to really see good evaporational cooling.
Yeah I went and looked and sure enough dewpoints are running about 5 degrees lower than forecast right now.Actually DPs are lower than forecast so far.
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