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Wintry Potential Dec 13-14 Ice Threat

Probably gonna be a glaze (trace) for most areas north of 85 as WBZs will be around 30-32, then it will immediately change to moderate/heavy rain
Yea basically the sensible heat fluxes from the moderate to heavier precipitation falling thru the warm nose above the cad dome and towards the surface will likely be what shuts off the ice if any were to occur
 
Yea basically the sensible heat fluxes from the moderate to heavier precipitation falling thru the warm nose above the cad dome and towards the surface will likely be what shuts off the ice if any were to occur

Nam is probably being the NAM, but that lighter precip this run was interesting, if that was to occur it would definitely cause more issues, it’s maybe a little to cold but around north CLT, onset WBZ was at 30
 
RGEM starting to come into range. Looks pretty chilly for the CAD regions at 0Z Friday.

yeah, precip approaching with 30s and even 20s north of 85, if it was to keep going It probably would have shown something moderate, WBZs would definitely be lower especially with 20s/10s
 
Oh man do we have a map?
1576270800-m6Ma8HHMgM4.png
 
EURO usually does well on 2m temp and retreating cold air east of the mtns. It’s showing advisory event:
 
Looks like the frozen precip moved south into the Upstate this run vs the 12z run of the CMC
 
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