Greatly, if not completely.
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Possible Severe Weather April 22nd-23rd
- Thread starter Darklordsuperstorm
- Start date
Z
Zander98al
Guest
I wonder if this is one of the hrrrv4 problems. Each modelseems to have a quirk too it. I hope its accurate but. Until Cams converge on that idea i wouldn't focus on it to much.
Dawgdaze22
Member
It’s only one model. Nam still paints a much different picture.
Dawgdaze22
Member
Jrips2710
Member
0z 12k NAM slightly slower with the energy so far thru 30
Personally I feel like it might be overdoing the MCS. I hope it’s there though since it would destroy any chance of severe weather up here.
Jessy89
Member
Long range RAP most likely is overdoing things substantially, but at first glance it seems to be siding with the Nam right now.
I know this is the long range RAP, but that looks horrifying.
Jrips2710
Member
Not quite sure what you mean by better. If you are looking for less severe weather, the answer is probably yes.
The slower the energy is the more it allows heights to build across the southeast which would probably lead to the warm sector becoming more expansive. The reason the NAM has been so much more ominous is because it’s been pretty significantly slower than most other models. Things have narrowed a little more today however.
Will there be gulf storms or no gulf storms?
That is one of if not the main question that will decide how things will play out on Thursday.
That is one of if not the main question that will decide how things will play out on Thursday.
farleydawg792
Member
Jessy89
Member
Looks like the change from stable to unstable air mass. Takes place between 1-4pm Georgia South Carolina
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That looks bad for most of Mississippi and would probably be bad for most of Alabama...
21Z SREF Sigtor
NoSnowATL
Member
Yep, trends
Gulf storms, if not we are in trouble. I think Glenn Burns has it right today. Tomorrow’s runs will be very important for Central Al and Ga. I hope the gulf takes it all and Thursday is sunny and dry!
NoSnowATL
Member
That’s ugly
Jessy89
Member
Nam not backing down. Looks like the cluster of storms in Georgia upstate sc around 7pm could rotate. Favorable conditions
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Mind uploading hour 42 and hour 45...?