There's no arctic connection in the upcoming pattern and there is really no mechanism to deliver cold. The pieces of the upper low are pacific origin and from near Greenland and the jet is roaring in off the pac. This isn't that dissimilar to last winter a -nao coupled with a flat pac=right around normal.L !! Source region roast means cold doesn’t transport like it should, the cutoff/trough over us still results in AN temps !! Oooooof View attachment 91680