Pattern October Thread

[SD]

So too much Wedge for Storms, but not enough Wedge for Wudge? So, 70's / Cloudy / muggy, but no rain?

Don't you just love torching our source region?

Yeah I mean the sfc high was centered in SE Canada on the gfs. You aren't going to drive that much cool to cold this far south especially when the high isn't of arctic origin anyway. Couple that with a lack of precip in the Wedge and its 70s and mostly cloudy. ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If you hate heat and humidity don’t look at the CMC

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Fall is in the air

 

[Myfrotho704_]

70 degree dewpoints the day before my bday ? Sign me up !

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Isn’t exactly a pattern you want if you want a big cold front… only hope is a wedge

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Source region murder

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Beautiful, but still with the main ridge axis over Canada tha pattern is susceptible to a cutoff, but loving this

 

[LickWx]

To those feeling anxious for fall weather : the averages have dropped some 12 degrees since peak summer now . It’s pleasant time no matter how red the maps are looking .

 

[Myfrotho704_]

To those feeling anxious for fall weather : the averages have dropped some 12 degrees since peak summer now . It’s pleasant time no matter how red the maps are looking .

Yep. 80s/upper 70s aint hot weather at all. That’s nice weather, nothing to freak out over

 

[Brent]

I think we may have turned a corner I can deal with 70s

 

[Tarheel1]

Here it comes. Really frustrating setup unless we get a fire hose with a SE flow. Probably too wedged for storms not wedged enough to be super cool. Just mehView attachment 91631

It’ll trend colder! Models always underestimate the strength of the wedge! CMC is best on thermals for the wedge! ?

 

[Tarheel1]

Beautiful, but still with the main ridge axis over Canada tha pattern is susceptible to a cutoff, but loving this View attachment 91649View attachment 91650

I’m no expert, but I think ridge and trough location, need to be switched! ??

 

[Tarheel1]

I think we may have turned a corner I can deal with 70sView attachment 91653

Think we’ve turned a corner into fall!

 

[SD]

Have to wonder if the op euro is over doing the retrogression of the upper low. It at one point retrograded the low along the east coast this week to near New Orleans

 

[Myfrotho704_]

ensembles ended off with this with a western trough/eastern NA ridge and I wondered why
then I saw why lol, tropical forcing around the MC/WPAC, which is typically gives us warmer weather around this time of the year, especially as we head deeper into fall, wonder what AAM charts from the EPS/GEFS look like, pattern looks very La nina esque

 

[Brent]

Think we’ve turned a corner into fall! View attachment 91655

Won't be long til the S word shows up ?

 

[Arcc]

If you hate heat and humidity don’t look at the CMC

It’s ok, I never look at it anywho.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Won't be long til the S word shows up ?

I mean, realistically you could be getting snow within the next month.

 

[NoSnowATL]

I mean, realistically you could be getting snow within the next month.

Saw some snow today. Only a trace amount tho.

 

[tennessee storm]

Won't be long til the S word shows up ?

What? Sleet lmao….