Close to turning it into a cutoff that gets stuck to our west
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Pattern October Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Yeah certainly too early to know the specifics but if that happens we could certainly see some severe prospects
Cold cold rain
I can hear the wishcasting of the southern wave being faster. About that time.
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Insert the pattern in October sometimes likes to mimic winter patterns comment
NoSnowATL
Member
Mini JB deserves his on thread. Guys crazy wrong 95% of the time and on everything including hurricane season.
Gotta love the 600+ hour European … unfortunately can’t be trusted but I’ll take it for now as it’s showing what I’ve been thinking could happen for a while with an early start to winter with the help of that early strat warming taking into effect much earlier than we usually get … haven’t had a thanksgiving flurry in a while ??
I’m waiting for BAM wx guy to start being posted in here he’s gotta be making some wild calls as of right now right lol
Need to be really careful on how we evolve the SPV. If you bother it but let it come back, typically it comes back stronger and harder to disrupt, there’s cases where failed attempts at SSWEs have lead to a very strong stratospheric polar vortex later on which ends up leading to a off the wall +AO
The one time I got to experience a snowfall before Thanksgiving was in November 2000… I had 4 inches in Concord where I was living at the time, and then never got more than flurries the rest of the winter
That was a great event full on mashed potatoes falling. Could have been an awesome 2 week period if the coastal low didn't miss east in early December
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cd2play
Member
Mr. Golf
Member
Some type of SSW event is our only chance to see a possible cold start to winter. A weaker pv for sure. Dont want it too early either because, imo, it's tough to see a sustainable cold pattern to produce snow and ice in the south and se other than your typical favored higher elevations
cd2play
Member
It would literally be an antisocial winter. Just like 2018-19.
Brent
Member
I dunno about winter but that high on Friday is a ?
Today was the first day in 130 we failed to hit 80
Today was the first day in 130 we failed to hit 80
Long range 00z EURO wasn't as aggressive with the troughing.
Will certainly make the difference, at least here, between average and below average temps.
Will certainly make the difference, at least here, between average and below average temps.