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Pattern October Thread

NickyBGuarantee said:
A little back and forth classic fall time weather. About time we get back to normal around here. That cold shot behind this will probably be more intense then our first one
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Close to turning it into a cutoff that gets stuck to our west
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
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Gotta love the 600+ hour European … unfortunately can’t be trusted but I’ll take it for now as it’s showing what I’ve been thinking could happen for a while with an early start to winter with the help of that early strat warming taking into effect much earlier than we usually get … haven’t had a thanksgiving flurry in a while ??
 
Need to be really careful on how we evolve the SPV. If you bother it but let it come back, typically it comes back stronger and harder to disrupt, there’s cases where failed attempts at SSWEs have lead to a very strong stratospheric polar vortex later on which ends up leading to a off the wall +AO
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Gotta love the 600+ hour European … unfortunately can’t be trusted but I’ll take it for now as it’s showing what I’ve been thinking could happen for a while with an early start to winter with the help of that early strat warming taking into effect much earlier than we usually get … haven’t had a thanksgiving flurry in a while ??
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The one time I got to experience a snowfall before Thanksgiving was in November 2000… I had 4 inches in Concord where I was living at the time, and then never got more than flurries the rest of the winter
 
Chazwin said:
The one time I got to experience a snowfall before Thanksgiving was in November 2000… I had 4 inches in Concord where I was living at the time, and then never got more than flurries the rest of the winter
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That was a great event full on mashed potatoes falling. Could have been an awesome 2 week period if the coastal low didn't miss east in early December
 
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Some type of SSW event is our only chance to see a possible cold start to winter. A weaker pv for sure. Dont want it too early either because, imo, it's tough to see a sustainable cold pattern to produce snow and ice in the south and se other than your typical favored higher elevations
 
Mr. Golf said:
Some type of SSW event is our only chance to see a possible cold start to winter. A weaker pv for sure. Dont want it too early either because, imo, it's tough to see a sustainable cold pattern to produce snow and ice in the south and se other than your typical favored higher elevations
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It would literally be an antisocial winter. Just like 2018-19. :(
 
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