October Odyssey

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Accuweather winter outlook says come Jan winter is over for the SE.

So it starts in November and is over by January? I’ll take it. We hug

 

[SETNwx]

No cold til Christmas

No Cold Till Brooklyn..

 

[SD]

Accuweather winter outlook says come Jan winter is over for the SE.

They using them maxar outlooks

 

[NoSnowATL]

They using them maxar outlooks

Last years predictions far off. Called for warm and wet. We definitely got the warmth and the wet.

 

[Bham 99]

It's not uncommon to have a bout of warm weather in the fall. Happened all the time growing up. Hard to be in the 60s every day.

Yes September temperatures are similar to May but a little bit warmer I would say on average.

 

[Shaggy]

Liking the dry look of the gfs heading into hunting season.

 

[tennessee storm]

“Cold Alaska cold Carolinas”

-JB?

Usually cold Alaska. Warm se... warm Alaska cold se...

 

[Tarheel1]

Frost advisory tonight! Happy October

 

[jackendrickwx]

00z ECMWF is annoyingly warm in the long term

 

[Bham 99]

00z ECMWF is annoyingly warm in the long term

That's great news. It needs to stay warm until mid December.

 

[Downeastnc]

Yep fall was nice while it lasted. Back to summer!!

Its nuts that low 80's is now "summer" weather lol....its crazy how our perception changes after a few weeks of cooler weather.....

 

[SD]

I'm going to say this forecast is acceptable

 

[BufordWX]

This looks like the pattern we are used to in winter. Luckily it’s the long range GFS.

 

[Rain Cold]

This looks like the pattern we are used to in winter. Luckily it’s the long range GFS.View attachment 49615

Super southwest-based -NAO ftw!

 

[smast16]

This looks like the pattern we are used to in winter. Luckily it’s the long range GFS.View attachment 49615

OHHH never underestimate the uncanny ability of the GFS to sniff out a ridge in the long term...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This looks like the pattern we are used to in winter. Luckily it’s the long range GFS.View attachment 49615

That pattern would be a epic severe weather setup in the plains lol

 

[cd2play]

This looks like the pattern we are used to in winter. Luckily it’s the long range GFS.View attachment 49615

A tch.

 

[Tarheel1]

?

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

?View attachment 49618

Too early for that kind of cold. I prefer 70s this time of year.

 

[Webberweather53]

Bruh why can't we get this in January?!?!

 

[wxdaniel]

Bruh why can't we get this in January?!?!

View attachment 49619

Nice greenlander


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[Webberweather53]

Nice greenlander


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Honestly had to remind myself what one of those looked like.


If we can get a pattern like this, the CONUS would turn into a bowling alley in mid October w/ a parade bowling ball cut-offs plowing underneath the retrograding Greenland block. I'd be all for it, just bring it to me again in January is all I'm asking.


???

 

[Webberweather53]

The 12z EPS is on board w/ the 12z ECMWF.

Look at this beautiful cyclonic wave breaker over New England & Atlantic Canada at day 8, that's a classic precursor to -NAO.

 

[EmersonGA]

Its nuts that low 80's is now "summer" weather lol....its crazy how our perception changes after a few weeks of cooler weather.....

We quickly forgot last October.

 

[MattLabenzwx]

Honestly had to remind myself what one of those looked like.


If we can get a pattern like this, the CONUS would turn into a bowling alley in mid October w/ a parade bowling ball cut-offs plowing underneath the retrograding Greenland block. I'd be all for it, just bring it to me again in January is all I'm asking.


???

View attachment 49620

Definitely an interesting pattern. I wonder if those troughs would have a tendency to dig south into the four corners region and then eject east or just move straight west to east. Definitely will be interesting to see how models trend the next couple of days ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Definitely an interesting pattern. I wonder if those troughs would have a tendency to dig south into the four corners region and then eject east or just move straight west to east. Definitely will be interesting to see how models trend the next couple of days ?

In you and @BufordWX dreams, no severe for y’all, and more continued disappointment for the plains

 

[Tarheel1]

Bruh why can't we get this in January?!?!

View attachment 49619

I thought we did all the time! West coast trough, Seattle scoring big time!?

 

[BufordWX]

In you and @BufordWX dreams, no severe for y’all, and more continued disappointment for the plains

I had my excitement with those storms a few weeks ago. I have been far from disappointed so far. It’s not hard to beat North GA weather anyways.

What will be disappointing is when there is a big severe weather event here during the time I come back to Georgia for a few days during the second week of October. You can book it happening now because of that.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Don’t shoot me, but if strong hurricane hits, goes inland, you can kiss the first half of winter goodbye! And torch late Fall.

 

[Rain Cold]

Don’t shoot me, but if strong hurricane hits, goes inland, you can kiss the first half of winter goodbye! And torch late Fall.

Why?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Don’t shoot me, but if strong hurricane hits, goes inland, you can kiss the first half of winter goodbye! And torch late Fall.

You’ve been looking at maxars predictions to much...

 

[SASQUATCH]

Look at that dew point baby:

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[Webberweather53]

Maritime Continent convection at this time of the year usually breaks down the N Atlantic storm track and begets -NAO development.




Corresponding EPS VP200a

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Very similar looks, quite unfortunate that the winter probably won’t match what 2010 did

 

[Chazwin]

Don’t shoot me, but if strong hurricane hits, goes inland, you can kiss the first half of winter goodbye! And torch late Fall.

You do remember that early December 2018 storm right??. That happened 2 months after a category 5 hurricane hit the Florida panhandle and for a number of folks that was the only snow for the winter

 

[Tarheel1]

40 this AM ! Frost bust! ?

 

[Fountainguy97]

Low of 37.9 this AM. Slowly working down to the first 32 of the season

 

[wxdaniel]

Don’t shoot me, but if strong hurricane hits, goes inland, you can kiss the first half of winter goodbye! And torch late Fall.

Is nobody going to care and check in on this guy???


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[Rain Cold]

Is nobody going to care and check in on this guy???


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We never got an answer as to why. And now I guess we'll never know.

 

[wxdaniel]

We never got an answer as to why. And now I guess we'll never know.

I’m not sure he does either


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