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October Odyssey

Correct me if I am wrong (and I am certain someone will), but isn't October typically the driest month of the year for at least most, if not all, of the southeast?

Yes and no. On average, it is the driest, but typically it is not the driest.
CHA for example, averages 3.14" of precip in October (next driest month on average is September with 3.60"). But year to year, October has been the driest month in only 23% of years since records were kept. In 77% of years, a month other than October turned out to be the driest. So, yes and no. Depends on how you look at it. :)

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Correct me if I am wrong (and I am certain someone will), but isn't October typically the driest month of the year for at least most, if not all, of the southeast?
October is usually an extremely dry month. It isn't unheard of to go the entire month without a drop of rain.
 
Interestingly enough Oct 15-19 have all been above normal precip at RDU with the Matthew year obviously being ++++++
 
Interestingly enough Oct 15-19 have all been above normal precip at RDU with the Matthew year obviously being ++++++
I think ‘17 and ‘19 were the only yearS that didn’t have a tropical connection to the above average rainfall. 2015 had the effects of an upper level pulling moisture in from Joaquin, ‘16 was Matthew, and ‘18 had Michael.
 
I think ‘17 and ‘19 were the only yearS that didn’t have a tropical connection to the above average rainfall. 2015 had the effects of an upper level pulling moisture in from Joaquin, ‘16 was Matthew, and ‘18 had Michael.
Yep. This goes back to what I said the other day I think 1/3rd of our avg precip during hurricane season is tied to tropical systems remove those and we are having a dry year
 
I think ‘17 and ‘19 were the only yearS that didn’t have a tropical connection to the above average rainfall. 2015 had the effects of an upper level pulling moisture in from Joaquin, ‘16 was Matthew, and ‘18 had Michael.
Can’t remember the rain total but 2017 Nate knocked the power out for week here from the Wilkes tornado.
 
Yes and no. On average, it is the driest, but typically it is not the driest.
CHA for example, averages 3.14" of precip in October (next driest month on average is September with 3.60"). But year to year, October has been the driest month in only 23% of years since records were kept. In 77% of years, a month other than October turned out to be the driest. So, yes and no. Depends on how you look at it. :)

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“On average, it is the driest, but typically it is not the driest.”


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Looks like Nate ‘17 did about 5-10” back this way. Prob why the tornado uprooted so many trees.
 
Yep. This goes back to what I said the other day I think 1/3rd of our avg precip during hurricane season is tied to tropical systems remove those and we are having a dry year
Horse Latitudes for the win
 
I think a lot of that heat is from the hurricane blowing in air from the Caribbean...should the track change..I bet cooler air could win over. I don’t believe the gfs bringing it that far inland
 
Can’t make this up, it’s almost like it’s a new normal to see summer in fall, lol ?
It's not uncommon to have a bout of warm weather in the fall. Happened all the time growing up. Hard to be in the 60s every day.
 
It's not uncommon to have a bout of warm weather in the fall. Happened all the time growing up. Hard to be in the 60s every day.
Hopefully it will be more like a pleasantly warm spell as oppose to the heat waves we had the last few fall seasons. I'll gladly take 80 for highs and 50-55 for lows.
 
If this is the worst of it(after today) that's nothing considering we've been in the 90s every year I've been here

Could use more rain though unlike east of here October is one of our wettest months

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While all of you get to enjoy some of the nice weather up north, Southern Florida will be receiving a host of weather issues for next two weeks.

The main issue right now is coastal flooding along the beaches that’s been going on for about a month. I took a drive along Highway A1A that runs along between the beaches and intercostal waters yesterday to check it out. There are multiple parking lots, small houses, and roads under a foot of water from North Miami to Deerfield Beach. The worst of it is near Miami. My friend in Dania Beach has had constant flooding in the parking garage of his condo. Last year we had some of the highest waters I’ve ever seen, but it looks like it’ll be worse this year as we head into October and November. This is a video from last week.

Next we have a frontal boundary that’s stalling around South Florida for the next 5 days, and that’s going to hit someone with a 6” lollipop. Then all attention turns to the tropics, and I don’t know WTF is going to happen in 10 days. The chances of certain demise is always around 100% in 2020.
 
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