Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Temps are falling quickly in the Triad, down to nearly 40F now at the airport.
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Wintry Nov 12-13 Cold & Light Mix
- Thread starter BirdManDoomW
- Start date
NoSnowATL
Member
Don’t think it’s going to happen here in ATL, temps steady at 35 now, clouds starting to break. It was a good try.
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Yes quiet a bit of sleet/snow reports in Surry County, I have mix od rain and sleet atm 34.7
The 3km NAM shows the rain ending as a little sleet in Wake County around 4:00. 
Should we modify the title to extend 2 day’s cause the NAM is not far off for some sleet/freezing drizzle Thursday trying to rush moisture in over dry cold air leaving...
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Wow, we're down to 41 here already. Crashing harder than I thought we would
smast16
Member
This is about 2 miles away from South Padre island. Looks Misty, but i don't see snow. (Ignore the Preview Image, it's old)
SimeonNC
Member
46.4 and dropping according to my station, it would be nice to see some flurries or a few sleet pellets on my way to work but I doubt the precip will stick around long enough.
D-Ray
Member
down to 40 now..it was 50 at 7 this morning....more rain than expected 0.53 in the rain gauge
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Based on mPING reports & local news media, the observation looks legit. There were about 3-4 reports of snow/graupel near Brownsville earlier on mPING
IP/SN mix 34.5
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This morning's low temps in Oklahoma are friggin absurd. Sub-zero temps over the panhandle are pretty hard to come by any time of the year, much less in mid November.
Per NWS Raleigh AFD, some chance of a change over to snow on north-west side of the low Thursday. Edited thread title to cover this small chance. However, I disagree and think sleet or mix would be more likely.
LickWx
Member
Where do you live? Location says Siloam N.C. but it’s raining there .
Mod. SNOW 34.2 Big win for November!!!
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Wow the back edge of this line is really booking it East.
Those pesky mountains 
12Z surface analysis shows a somewhat fractured arctic cold front
emerging east of the Appalachians, surging further east across GA
and SC, with the true cold air still held back further north by the
central Appalachians despite a sw to nw wind shift now evident
across the Piedmont.
12Z surface analysis shows a somewhat fractured arctic cold front
emerging east of the Appalachians, surging further east across GA
and SC, with the true cold air still held back further north by the
central Appalachians despite a sw to nw wind shift now evident
across the Piedmont.
9 times out of 10.Those pesky mountains
12Z surface analysis shows a somewhat fractured arctic cold front
emerging east of the Appalachians, surging further east across GA
and SC, with the true cold air still held back further north by the
central Appalachians despite a sw to nw wind shift now evident
across the Piedmont.
Varies across Wilkes, pockets of heavy snow, pockets of sleet, pockets of dry downsloping end of event, pockets of rain, brought to you by hot pockets.
And here's the front
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SimeonNC
Member
I just checked and now its 44.4 lol, I cannot wait for it to be in the 30s when I get off work.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Curious if I can sneak in a stray sleet pellet or snowflake here, probably a real fat chance in any case.
Southern Surry County Near Yadkin River and Yadkin County line. and it's down to flurries now. It wasn't raining when I posted the ob.
I’m west south west of Harrisburg ... keep looking out my window for the stray flake ... but alas ?
Just heard what sounded like a sleet pellet hit my window, I’m just gonna assume that was a sleet pellet to mask a fail ?
Those pesky mountains
Pretty incredible how the smoky mountains and the ridge Highlands sits on blocks the cold from northwest SC.
Webber can you talk about the potential freezing rain or sleet set up possibly for Thursday do u see any good indications from that? Maybe precip is being predicted as underdone and will increase in successive runs?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Ice pellets being reported near Winston-Salem.
Fountainguy97
Member
100% a win this morning. Mod/heavy snow from 6-7:30AM then light/mod snow through 8:30.
1 inch on the measuring board and probably 2-2.5 fell. Ground was pretty warm.
Officially more than the snowfall I saw all last year! Going to be a cold one tonight
1 inch on the measuring board and probably 2-2.5 fell. Ground was pretty warm.
Officially more than the snowfall I saw all last year! Going to be a cold one tonight
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I wouldn't expect anything more than maybe a few sleet pellets mixing in w/ the rain near the onset or perhaps freezing drizzle if we end up seriously busting cold on temps, but it would be a very low impact event at best. Really needed this storm to come about a day sooner to produce more significant wintry weather
Wow it’s hard to find a 40 degree reading in the entire state of Texas. Then looking at eastern NC in the 70s.
Given areas being in the teens I feel good about a sleety onset Thursday for maybe even areas like Charlotte. That type of surface dry cold will not have time to moderate enough IMO before Thursday...upper stairs of the atmosphere is a different story and will torch.
Currently at 18F despite sunshine.
WxBlue
Meteorologist
Not my best map... but here's a beautiful temperature map of Carolinas from a recent RTMA analysis. Can you find the cold front?
(now I just need to learn how to pick out values from the RTMA raster... or make a better color table with better labels...)
(now I just need to learn how to pick out values from the RTMA raster... or make a better color table with better labels...)
Hell of a SC temp gradient. Low 30’s on top of Sasafras, 80 on the coast. Edit: margin is quickly widening also
Anyone know what the TT site routinely stalls out and doesn't add images for new model runs, when they're already available on other sites? For example, the 12 GFS has been stalled at hr 36 for a long time, and it's missing some panels for periods even before hr 36. It does this all the time.
Bright banding showing up just N/NW of the triangle might be some sleet, I see a mping report around South Boston of ip which is just north of Roxboro