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Pattern Nippy November

FWIW MBY gets Nam'd in Alamance county including the NW triangle. There is still a chance for some anafront flurries.
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SREF (Nam Ensembles) have a few members for (GSO)
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60s/40s and 50s after next Wednesday, for the next 10+ days! Our chance for BN November, is disappearing quickly
 
Webberweather53 said:
This isn't going to be the coldest pattern in the world by any means as North America becomes flooded w/ mild, Pacific air but I'll certainly take it.

Classic +PNA
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It does seem like we have a ways to go after this cold blast next week. Hopefully we will get in a more favorable pattern for winter weather in the mid south and south east. :)
 
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Need to move further from the city! I’ve checked 10 Wunderground stations around here to verify and they all have a reading of at least 30 degrees sometime last night early this morning
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I know! It's my wife! I've wanted to buy some property in Northern Greenville County for years - my temps would be 10 degrees cooler!
I plan to get my Vantage Vue connected to the internet soon - I have a 2m pole away from structures/roads
 
Tarheel1 said:
60s/40s and 50s after next Wednesday, for the next 10+ days! Our chance for BN November, is disappearing quickly
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Still looks like November will be mostly below normal .. near the end could have some above average days but definitely going to finish November below average
 
Tarheel1 said:
60s/40s and 50s after next Wednesday, for the next 10+ days! Our chance for BN November, is disappearing quickly
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It’s like a hot pacific burp flooding North America. Looking at 2m anoms, the SE stays relatively normal compared to the rest of the country. I doubt it’s enough to take us AN. December though, that’s a whole different beast! +8 or bust!
 
Golf7575 said:
It does seem like we have a ways to go after this cold blast next week. Hopefully we will get in a more favorable pattern for winter weather in the mid south and south east. :)
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December going torch afraid ... from what s goin on pacific region ... a lot to workout... but think mid January into February we can score
 
Reason for that little area of snow in NC on the NAM is actually because weak overrunning occurs, NAM has been trending to consolidating some energy on the base of the trough around the Florida panhandle/AL/GA and has been strengthening it at 500/700mb, which makes sense, this forms a area of moisture that runs into a colder airmass, not likely gonna see much changes but if it could trend a bit stronger, it could develop a bit of a weak wave with heavier rates, or if it can slow down just a little bit it would have a better shot at running into artic air 852547AB-83F1-4695-8A21-553A0261FC67.gifCD616F7E-D847-4CE4-A5E3-9A8656C9F1D2.gifEA958D78-7DBB-4269-9B0E-54F8F353284A.gif
 
FWIW and maybe not much, but cmc has trended little bit healthier with the moisture and snow line has shifted south a bit. I would say that a mixture at best, but nothing significant. Euro had this look last night as well.
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Some will call me crazy for posting these but for my area, these look better FWIW. Few pockets of darker shaded areas and pockets of blue
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
It’s like a hot pacific burp flooding North America. Looking at 2m anoms, the SE stays relatively normal compared to the rest of the country. I doubt it’s enough to take us AN. December though, that’s a whole different beast! +8 or bust!
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I'll take the under on that bet.... This year will not have a +8 December.
 
So far, the Euro, CMC and Gefs members has wintry weather far south into central MS/Al. Lot of members increasing the moisture abit.
 
Huge flocks if sandhill cranes are flying over today. That’s about two weeks earlier than normal.
 
Jessy89 said:
Why the negativity of no snow in November? Was anyone really expecting snow in November? December is the month to start watching anything before that’s a bonus.


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Really any snow before January in the southeast is bonus snow. Our best shot at snow is usually the 2nd week of January through mid to late February. I’m not saying we can’t get snow before or after these dates but it does seem to be the prime time for southeast snow most years.
 
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