Pattern Nippy November

[WxBlue]

so i take it you will think we are all crazy when we argue over a half inch of snow fluctuations on models runs this winter.

Oh absolutely online weather debates in New England were over fluctuations of 5 to 10 inches (due to banding placements). Getting caught between main band and secondary band with mid-level goodness would result you going from 15-25" event to 5-15" event... and yes, people do get upset over that in New England haha.

 

[WxWatch]

Yeah, I'm not going to consider the NAM quite yet at this time. However, if it still indicates that much snow within 48 hrs/24 hrs of the event, I'll definitely consider it.

 

[malak05]

Ohh model watching is just fun in SE especially if you enjoy a little bipolar stuff

 

[SD]

Temps were hovering around 36/37 through most of the evening with a light breeze. The breeze died around 10 and we are down to 33 already

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[RBR71]

Temps were hovering around 36/37 through most of the evening with a light breeze. The breeze died around 10 and we are down to 33 already

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29 here already but of course it's only daylight for a couple of hours so...

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[accu35]

0z gfs may be slowing that second storm again.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Uhhhh, is the GFS showing a warm core again at 150? man that's something else to do that.

I also noticed (as you see I'm not really fully paying attention) that the timing is now Friday or later instead of Thursday lul.

 

[SD]

29 here already but of course it's only daylight for a couple of hours so...

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I'm not sure how you do it up there in the tundra. On a serious note though lots of 30 and below temps where the wind has died while mid 30s where it's still stirring. Dropped to 31.8 here but the wind picked back up now 35

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[accu35]

Yeah, the second storm is slowing down. Still time to trend either way plus this is November and Thanksgiving hasn't even came yet. Lots of winter left

 

[accu35]

College dupage gefs members are not available, is there another site with the members? Pivotal doesn't have them

 

[SETNwx]

Weird temp profiles going on at CHA airport. Winds staying less than 3 mph to calm. I've long not trusted this NWS official site as accurate.

20:53-- 38
21:53-- 35
22:53-- 38
23:53-- 35

Dew points steadily dropping though.

 

[SETNwx]

Haven't checked 0z gfs yet.. It must suck since no one is posting, lol.

 

[accu35]

Haven't checked 0z gfs yet.. It must suck since no one is posting, lol.

Yeah it did

 

[accu35]

All the models has slowed for the second storm. If we can speed this up a bit than game on

 

[SETNwx]

Debbie Downer Whambelicious December:

 

[SETNwx]

Congrats Joplin, Mo.. but hey, you gotta admit, that poor town deserves all the snow-white love they can get.

Edit: Nevermind, they actually had a blizzard that year in Feb 2011, before their super tornado.

 

[Shawn]

Free maps right now so can't see.. but seems the Euro may be showing some thunderboomers at the end of the run.

 

[Brent]

Free maps right now so can't see.. but seems the Euro may be showing some thunderboomers at the end of the run.

yeah looks more like severe than winter weather

 

[SETNwx]

pretty impressive anomaly map:

 

[Tarheel1]

Yeah it did

6z blows also

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

25 degrees on the thermometer this morning. Pretty good chance we will get some upper teens around here next week.

 

[Webberweather53]

Looks like we're going for the classic NINO pattern in the long term, which in Dec can mean one of two things here: 1) torch across the conus 2) +PNA pattern w/ seasonably cool conditions in the eastern & southern US, warmth elsewhere.

 

[Webberweather53]

This isn't going to be the coldest pattern in the world by any means as North America becomes flooded w/ mild, Pacific air but I'll certainly take it.

Classic +PNA

 

[Webberweather53]

This isn't going to be the coldest pattern in the world by any means as North America becomes flooded w/ mild, Pacific air but I'll certainly take it.

Classic +PNA
View attachment 25685

The GEFS oth goes for canonical NINO, either pattern I'd definitely be able to live w/.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This isn't going to be the coldest pattern in the world by any means as North America becomes flooded w/ mild, Pacific air but I'll certainly take it.

Classic +PNA
View attachment 25685

Nice pattern for CADs/in-Situ CADs with shallow cold air (cold rains)

 

[FallsLake]

Nice pattern for CADs/in-Situ CADs with shallow cold air (cold rains)

Classic Thanksgiving weather. Perfect for this time of year.

Oh by the way, just got back from my son 5th grad field trip in DC. Saw a brief flurry yesterday . So I've seen snow flakes...

 

[NoSnowATL]

yeah looks more like severe than winter weather

Something like this?

Wash and repeat!


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[EmersonGA]

Weird temp profiles going on at CHA airport. Winds staying less than 3 mph to calm. I've long not trusted this NWS official site as accurate.

20:53-- 38
21:53-- 35
22:53-- 38
23:53-- 35

Dew points steadily dropping though.

We got down to 30 right after midnight but have been bouncing between there and 35 since. Weird what a tiny breeze can do.

 

[SD]

26.4 this morning.

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[drfranklin]

low of 32.2 - still no actual freeze
my location: just south of downtown Greenville, SC/in city of Greenville/elevation exactly 1000 feet

 

[Forevertothee]

28 in Clinton at 6am
Southern Upstate (South of 85)


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[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Hard freeze this morning. 22.8

 

[Forevertothee]

NWSChat
NOUS42 KCAE 091330
PNSCAE
GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-115-116-100125-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
825 AM EST SAT NOV 9 2019

...LOW TEMPERATURE REPORTS FOR SATURDAY MORNING NOV 9, 2019...

LOCATION TEMP TIME/DATE PROVIDER
CEDAR CREEK 26 F 0730 AM 11/09 NWS COOP
SPRINGHILL 26 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
BEAR CREEK 26 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
RICHLAND CO LANDFILL 26 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
ELGIN 27 F 0733 AM 11/09 CWOP
FORT MILL 27 F 0653 AM 11/09 CWOP
DUTCH FORK HS 27 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
SALUDA 28 F 0735 AM 11/09 CWOP
PEAK 28 F 0616 AM 11/09 CWOP
HEATH SPRINGS 28 F 0625 AM 11/09 AWS
CAROLINA SANDHILLS 28 F 0614 AM 11/09 RAWS
LANCASTER 28 F 0535 AM 11/09 AWOS
CROSSROADS FIRE STATION 28 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
NEWBERRY SHERIFF 28 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
NEWBERRY 28 F 0730 AM 11/09 AWS
SWANSEA 3.5 NE 29 F 0730 AM 11/09 NWS COOP
PINEWOOD 29 F 0700 AM 11/09 CWOP
PINEWOOD 29 F 0700 AM 11/09 CWOP
LEXINGTON 29 F 0715 AM 11/09 CWOP
RIDGE SPRING 29 F 0735 AM 11/09 AWS
LINCOLNTON 4S 29 F 0730 AM 11/09 NWS COOP
IRMO 29 F 0730 AM 11/09 AWS
MCCRADY TRAINING CENTER 29 F 0733 AM 11/09 RAWS
BLYTHEWOOD FIRE STN 29 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
CRANE CREEK 29 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
NEWBERRY (WEATHERSTEM) 30 F 0730 AM 11/09 MESOWEST
GILBERT 30 F 0746 AM 11/09 CWOP
WEDGEFIELD 30 F 0700 AM 11/09 CWOP
CONGAREE 30 F 0647 AM 11/09 RAWS
6.5 E JEFFERSON 30 F 0314 AM 11/09 HADS
CAMDEN WOODWARD 30 F 0715 AM 11/09 AWOS
CHERAW 30 F 0715 AM 11/09 AWOS
NEWBERRY 30 F 0735 AM 11/09 AWOS
1 ESE NORTH 30 F 0656 AM 11/09 AWOS
1.4 E NORTH (NWS/FAA) 30 F 0656 AM 11/09 MESOWEST
LONG CANE 30 F 0612 AM 11/09 RAWS
SAVRIV 30 F 0707 AM 11/09 RAWS
WEIR TOWER 30 F 0651 AM 11/09 RAWS
GILBERT 30 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
CHERAW 31 F 0733 AM 11/09 CWOP
SPRINGFIELD 31 F 0735 AM 11/09 CWOP
LUGOFF 31 F 0729 AM 11/09 CWOP
ORANGEBURG 31 F 0716 AM 11/09 CWOP
RED BANK AREA 31 F 0704 AM 11/09 CWOP
NORTH AUGUSTA 31 F 0728 AM 11/09 CWOP
MCENTIRE ANG 31 F 0656 AM 11/09 AWOS
SHAW AFB SUMTER 31 F 0656 AM 11/09 AWOS
1 S PELION 31 F 0710 AM 11/09 AWS
2 ESE SALUDA 31 F 0805 AM 11/09 AWS
ORANGEBURG 31 F 0716 AM 11/09 RAWS
LONG CANE PORTABLE 31 F 0650 AM 11/09 RAWS
7.6 N LUGOFF 31 F 0600 AM 11/09 COOP
LEXINGTON CO AIRPORT PELION 31 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
HOPKINS 31 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
AIKEN 32 F 0710 AM 11/09 CWOP
SUMTER 32 F 0715 AM 11/09 CWOP
RIDGEWAY 32 F 0730 AM 11/09 CWOP
WEST COLUMBIA 32 F 0715 AM 11/09 CWOP
RICHLAND CO LIBRARY SE 32 F 0730 AM 11/09 RC-WINDS
COLUMBIA 32 F 0730 AM 11/09 CWOP
I-20 @ COLUMBIA WEIGH STATIO 32 F 0710 AM 11/09 GADOT
2.5 N GROVETOWN 32 F 0720 AM 11/09 MESOWEST
AIKEN 32 F 0715 AM 11/09 AWOS
SANTEE COOPER REGION ARPT 32 F 0735 AM 11/09 AWOS
SUMTER MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 32 F 0735 AM 11/09 AWOS
1 SSW LAKE MURRAY OF RICHLAN 32 F 0650 AM 11/09 NDBC
5.6 SW MCCORMICK 32 F 0730 AM 11/09 HADS
7 NNW LUGOFF 32 F 0650 AM 11/09 NDBC
1.2 SE SUMTER (WEATHERSTEM) 33 F 0700 AM 11/09 MESOWEST
2.1 S MULBERRY (WEATHERSTEM) 33 F 0740 AM 11/09 MESOWEST
6 SSE AUGUSTA 33 F 0703 AM 11/09 AWS
EVANS 33 F 0759 AM 11/09 CWOP
SUMTER 33 F 0700 AM 11/09 CWOP
NORTH AUGUSTA 33 F 0708 AM 11/09 CWOP
GRACEWOOD 33 F 0727 AM 11/09 CWOP
COLUMBIA 33 F 0745 AM 11/09 CWOP
COLUMBIA 33 F 0742 AM 11/09 CWOP
2.0 SE COLUMBIA (WEATHERSTEM 34 F 0700 AM 11/09 MESOWEST
2 W CLARKS HILL 34 F 0720 AM 11/09 NDBC
NORTH AUGUSTA 34 F 0801 AM 11/09 CWOP
APPLING 34 F 0737 AM 11/09 CWOP
ORANGEBURG 34 F 0725 AM 11/09 CWOP
2 E CAYCE 34 F 0710 AM 11/09 AWS
AUGUSTA BUSH FIELD 34 F 0700 AM 11/09 ASOS
BARNWELL 34 F 0735 AM 11/09 AWOS
THOMSON-MCDUFFIE COUNTY AIRP 34 F 0735 AM 11/09 AWOS
ORANGEBURG 34 F 0653 AM 11/09 ASOS
MARTINEZ 35 F 0800 AM 11/09 CWOP
SANTEE 35 F 0724 AM 11/09 CWOP
I-20 @ AUGUSTA CANAL WELCOME 35 F 0750 AM 11/09 GADOT
3.7 W NORTH AUGUSTA 35 F 0750 AM 11/09 MESOWEST
COLUMBIA 35 F 0656 AM 11/09 ASOS
COLUMBIA HAMILTON-OWENS AIRP 35 F 0653 AM 11/09 ASOS
SANTEE NWR 35 F 0644 AM 11/09 RAWS
2.7 W BLACKVILLE 36 F 0400 AM 11/09 HADS
FORT GORDON 36 F 0501 AM 11/09 RAWS
AUGUSTA DANIEL 38 F 0653 AM 11/09 ASOS


OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURES. WE THANK ALL VOLUNTEER WEATHER OBSERVERS
FOR THEIR DEDICATION. NOT ALL DATA LISTED ARE CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.

$$


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Looks like we bottomed out at 28.4 here in southern Greenville county last night. Solid first freeze

 

[RBR71]

25 on the nose, had to actually bump the heat on last night

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[RBR71]

Classic Thanksgiving weather. Perfect for this time of year.

Oh by the way, just got back from my son 5th grad field trip in DC. Saw a brief flurry yesterday . So I've seen snow flakes...

I've seen snowflakes in DC before too, oops wrong thread

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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

low of 32.2 - still no actual freeze
my location: just south of downtown Greenville, SC/in city of Greenville/elevation exactly 1000 feet

Need to move further from the city! I’ve checked 10 Wunderground stations around here to verify and they all have a reading of at least 30 degrees sometime last night early this morning

 

[cyclogent]

28 in Chattanooga per the raw obs. Coldest morning since March 7th.

 

[MichaelJ]

Bottomed out at 24.6 at my house

 

[Mitch West]

30° just outside of Lexington, SC