Pattern Nippy November

[snowcool776]

This is the gem forecast for the end of the run, and it looks cold

 

[Golf7575]

Can’t imagine we get though day 10 or so without a freeze atleast down to 40 corridor and probably south of that.

View attachment 25062

Kylo, i am supposed to get two or three freezes after thursday night i think here in my area

 

[snowcool776]

Kylo, i am supposed to get two or three after thursday night i think here in my area

WRAL anticipates that storms will be here overnight on Halloween.

 

[pcbjr]

Anyone wanna trade for a week?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

What’s with all the snow talk?

There was a winter, I think November 2001, there were several small snow / slop events here in Greenville, and was actually a big event forecasted, we were under a WSW for 4-8”, that busted, got about 1” in Greer. But it is possible to get snows in mid and late November down here, although rare, the models may not be out to lunch! Then the Dec 2002 event, was amazeballs, early December

Who are you and where is Mack?

 

[Tarheel1]

What’s with all the snow talk?

Who are you and where is Mack?

Weenies are out everywhere! ??
Models showing snow nearby, and it’s only October!

 

[pcbjr]

Models showing snow nearby, and it’s only October!

Buy a Modelo ... the results are more certain ...

 

[jackendrickwx]

Noticeable speed up in frontal timing from 12z-18z on GFS

 

[Ollie Williams]

18z runs
GFS: Runs right through the middle of a HP ridge, very GFS-ish. Doesn't get much NS interaction so still holding on with the ss low. Not great but better than 06z and 12z
GEFS: Still a couple of members, however not as bullish. Maybe 3 members in NC, compared to 7 at 12z. However, throws the MA form a bone.
On to 00z. Lets hug the 12z cmc

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Warm??

 

[tennessee storm]

Kylo, i am supposed to get two or three freezes after thursday night i think here in my area

What area you from ? Ohio?

 

[accu35]

This time frame does look interesting

 

[accu35]

Nothing big, but the potential is there

 

[Golf7575]

This time frame does look interesting

Accu, there will probably be too much confluence to allow a system to develop, but we shall see.

 

[accu35]

Accu, there will probably be too much confluence to allow a system to develop, but we shall see.

I understand, but with some talk about the gefs and eps and cmc showing a interesting somewhat setup in that time frame, why not post something from the 0z tonight that goes alone with it. There's really nothing else to do right now lol.

 

[Golf7575]

I understand, but with some talk about the gefs and eps and cmc showing a interesting somewhat setup in that time frame, why not post something from the 0z tonight that goes alone with it.

I agree buddy. We shall see as we get closer because its too far out in lala land now.

 

[Webberweather53]

We probably won't be cold enough to get a winter storm due to climo, but this is a great middle of winter pattern to crank out a nice southern slider.

Big SE Canada vortex w/ a southern stream wave entering stage left from California is classic.

 

[NCSNOW]

I'm riding the HWRF for Halloween night cause it shows the solution I want. Nam and GFS are just a hour latter clearing the rain out of the high country before K/O.
This is 7pm for all the trick or treaters out there tomorrow night. 2m temps Nam are coldest at this time frame upper 30's with windchill in the 20's. Lows bottom out around 20-22 degere range by sunrise Friday morning on all models.

 

[jackendrickwx]

3k NAM dips wind chill values down to 7F in Watauga Co Fri morning.

 

[Webberweather53]

The big cold outbreak being progged for the beginning of the 2nd week of November east of the Rockies will create a positive mountain torque event that yields a strong +NAO by mid-month.