The diurnal temperature swing we will experience in the next 24 hours is something similar that you see out in the Midwest. It will likely be a 40-45° swing inside a 12-15 hour period. Things like this is why I love weather.
That's awesome. Lots of weather obs via weather underground showing the same sort of drop. Tight gradient with air masses. Something you see a lot more in the Midwest.This is the kind of drop you like to see from a front!View attachment 25153
I read this post with DT's voice in my head....Let's look at some maps, while we're waiting. Waiting on what? Storms today, strong cold fronts, fall weather, hints of winter, winter forecast releases...anything interesting, that's what:
Walking through the 0z GFS 500mb progression over the next 16 days, we see a few interesting things, some of which feel like getting a rock in your trick or treat bag. We start out with a Reese's cup pumpkin at 120:
Nice Aleutian low, ridge off the west coast up into Canada, and a flow out of the north, centering a trough over the central US. Not ideal, but should bring seasonable weather, and certainly not horrific.
View attachment 25158
At 180, we see a semblance of the Aleutian low, but we also see a full latitude trough developing in the Pacific. The ridge has pinched off over AK and is starting to roll over. Still have a nice flow out of Canada, but it ends up more zonal across the south. I would expect this to be seasonable to slightly warm. Looks like a tootsie roll to me.
View attachment 25159
At 240, you can see our AK ridge has rolled over, forcing the Aleutian low/trough to become oriented west-east, forcing the jets stream into a mild zonal flow pattern. I would expect seasonable to warm across the south. They just tossed us a dum dum.
View attachment 25160
And finally, going out to 384, just because we can, we see all sorts of quarriable items: Granite, quartz, feldspar, you name it. Big +NAO, fast, mild Pac Jet, and our lifelong friend, the SE ridge. Going to be hard to swallow this jawbreaker.
View attachment 25161
Fortunately for us, we just have to wait 6 hours. The 6z at 240 has our EPO ridge, more favorably oriented with a low underneath, a split flow and high pressure to the north. This is probably seasonably cool. Makes it easier to chuck down that Crunch bar.
View attachment 25162
And at 384, just because, we have a decent EPO ridge, a low displaced south of the Aleutians, and a split flow, with highs migrating across the northern tier. I guess that's probably cool weather and a pack of smarties. Certainly better than chomping down on an amethyst.
View attachment 25163
Just for funsies, here are some Euro maps. The Europeans are throwing out peanut M&Ms, Milkyway Darks, and World's Finest Chocolate. Happy Halloween!
120
View attachment 25164
192
View attachment 25165
240
View attachment 25166
Thank god. I dont want to get stuck in that hell hole for any extra timePack your speedo!View attachment 25152
Kansas is a wonferful state filled with some of the nicest people you will ever find. What part of Kansas will you be visiting?Thank god. I dont want to get stuck in that hell hole for any extra time
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Let's look at some maps, while we're waiting. Waiting on what? Storms today, strong cold fronts, fall weather, hints of winter, winter forecast releases...anything interesting, that's what:
Walking through the 0z GFS 500mb progression over the next 16 days, we see a few interesting things, some of which feel like getting a rock in your trick or treat bag. We start out with a Reese's cup pumpkin at 120:
Nice Aleutian low, ridge off the west coast up into Canada, and a flow out of the north, centering a trough over the central US. Not ideal, but should bring seasonable weather, and certainly not horrific.
View attachment 25158
At 180, we see a semblance of the Aleutian low, but we also see a full latitude trough developing in the Pacific. The ridge has pinched off over AK and is starting to roll over. Still have a nice flow out of Canada, but it ends up more zonal across the south. I would expect this to be seasonable to slightly warm. Looks like a tootsie roll to me.
View attachment 25159
At 240, you can see our AK ridge has rolled over, forcing the Aleutian low/trough to become oriented west-east, forcing the jets stream into a mild zonal flow pattern. I would expect seasonable to warm across the south. They just tossed us a dum dum.
View attachment 25160
And finally, going out to 384, just because we can, we see all sorts of quarriable items: Granite, quartz, feldspar, you name it. Big +NAO, fast, mild Pac Jet, and our lifelong friend, the SE ridge. Going to be hard to swallow this jawbreaker.
View attachment 25161
Fortunately for us, we just have to wait 6 hours. The 6z at 240 has our EPO ridge, more favorably oriented with a low underneath, a split flow and high pressure to the north. This is probably seasonably cool. Makes it easier to chuck down that Crunch bar.
View attachment 25162
And at 384, just because, we have a decent EPO ridge, a low displaced south of the Aleutians, and a split flow, with highs migrating across the northern tier. I guess that's probably cool weather and a pack of smarties. Certainly better than chomping down on an amethyst.
View attachment 25163
Just for funsies, here are some Euro maps. The Europeans are throwing out peanut M&Ms, Milkyway Darks, and World's Finest Chocolate. Happy Halloween!
120
View attachment 25164
192
View attachment 25165
240
View attachment 25166
Oh the people are nice but travelling for work isn't exactly something that makes me happy. I'll be in edgerton, atchison, overland parkKansas is a wonferful state filled with some of the nicest people you will ever find. What part of Kansas will you be visiting?
The southwestern KC suburbs are really nice. Do you think they will ever transfer you to Kansas ?Oh the people are nice but travelling for work isn't exactly something that makes me happy. I'll be in edgerton, atchison, overland park
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Stayed at the Sheraton in OP many times. Nice area.Oh the people are nice but travelling for work isn't exactly something that makes me happy. I'll be in edgerton, atchison, overland park
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I think we tend to forget sometimes that we live in the southeast where snow and sustained cold are rare.Good grief it's only October with a very nice pattern ahead that we been asking for all summer to break the extreme heat curse, and people are still not satisfied? I dont believe in a precurse season, what more could you as for with bundle of moisture coming from the gulf with a nice shot of cold air behind it. If some on here would stop complaining about next month and the month after maybe just maybe we can have things going our way. All this complaining is wearing off on the new people.
Eh you are borderline southeast, practically midwest. Your climate is vastly different than most of the south in winter.I think we tend to forget sometimes that we live in the southeast where snow and sustained cold are rare.
I fully agree about the eternal optimists. Being pessimistic about winter down here is just being a realist. Optimism is borderline delusional. LolAccu, I think RC said it best; We’re cautiously pessimistic. Also I would disagree that the complainers are wearing on the newcomers. I could argue that the eternal optomists are more difficult to wade through. Just some of my thoughts there. I think we can all agree that we like snow.